Monday, February 16, 2015

HACK ATTACKS, BANKS, AND INSURANCE UNDERWRITING




KREBSIAN CRABINESS AND INSURERS AS REGULATORS




Michael Sean Quinn, Ph.D., J.D., c.p.c.u. . . .
The Law Firm of Michael Sean Quinn et
Quinn and Quinn
                                 1300 West Lynn Street, Suite 208
                                             Austin, Texas 78703
                                                 (512) 296-2594
                                            (512) 344-9466 - Fax

                                E-mail:  mquinn@msquinnlaw.com

As Krebs of KrebsonSecurity, has pointed out many times, cyber attacks and therefore defenses systems at least tend to focus on the accounts, credit cards, and other information of customers, not those of the institutions themselves.  The cyber systems of institutions, e.g., retailers and banks are minimally protected. Here's how he put in on February 16, 2015: "Most organizations--even may financial institutions--aren't up to defeat skilled attackers; their network security is built around ease-of-use, compliance, and/or defeating auditors and regulators." 

Obviously these systems need further and better regulation. Insurance underwriting can provide it.  If insurers require that financial institutions to provide better--better yet, maximum--protection for their networks, rather than simply enough to protect themselves from regulators, everybody's money and pocket books would be better off. 

Leaving itself unprotected in order to pursue its own short-term interests? So much for financial responsibility? So much for transparency?  Krebs and others have conjectured that bank losses may be has high as a $billion, and those may be just U.S. losses.  

Insurers should require this in all sorts of insurance policies, even those that are not directly connected to cyber insurance, although they should most assuredly do in in cyber policies.  I don't see why they couldn't be in CGL, D&O, and even vehicle policies, e.g., those for transporting ATM money.   I don't see why they could not apply to first-party property policies, such as those for computers and buildings.  After all, a sophisticated cyber attach might affect either of these types of systems. 

Why should this be done? Because all of these "variations" will maximize protection at given points of evolving history and decrease successful attacks in all sorts of ways. 

How might this regulation work? Insurance applications should insist that applicants have the best in hack protection.  This may require special drafting.  That can be done by cyber sophisticated underwriters, or underwriting consultants, cyber forensic engineers to some extent, by experts on hacking who understand how the English language for insurance contracts works, and by the right kinds of lawyers

Thursday, February 12, 2015

"Performance Insurance": The Rolling Stones Today, Sir. Mick the Man at 71, and L'Wren Dead at 49

Rolling Stone, Mick Jagger, L’Wren Scott, and Something Like Life Insurance

+

The "Shuffle Along" Case


Michael Sean Quinn, Ph.D., J.D., c.p.c.u., Etc.

Law Firm of Michael Sean Quinn 
                                 1300 West Lynn Street, Suite 102
                                             Austin, Texas 78703
                                                 (512) 656-0503
                                E-mail:  mquinn@msquinnlaw.com


Sometimes commercial musical (or analogous) performances run into trouble. When this arises, it usually happens because I star can’t come; a famous opera singer gets sick; the hand of a well-known cello player is broken by an angry lover;  a world-renowned banjo player is incarcerated; the symphony-ballet conductor is arrested for murder; and so forth. Usually, it is the venue of sponsoring organization (e.g., West Texas Society of Early Baroque Ballet) that has insurance to cover ticket refunds, statistically fewer ticket sales; losses of various other kinds; expenses, lost profits, and so forth.

Now suppose a famous performance group takes out insurance on itself in case it has to cancel a concert. They may need this for a whole variety of reasons. The star gets sick; a drummer breaks an elbow; the setup crew members are all murdered; and so forth.  Now suppose a group took out life insurance on a non member, for example. The member might have such strong feelings about their wives, mistresses, children, someone else’s children, or a dearly beloved head of a government that if any of them were to die, they could not go on with one or more concerts and would need to compensate the venue and the organization sponsoring the event.*  And they might was business interruption insurance for themselves.

(*It would be strange for the venue or organization not to have their own coverage, and for the contract between the performers and them not to have a no-subrogation clause, but lots of things are possible. Then again, they might be something like an insured under the performance policy.  They might, for example, be named an additional named insured entitled to recover if. . . . Or the organization might have a lien on amounts the insurer pays.)

In any case, roughly this arrangement was made by the Rolling Stones (and therefore Mick Jagger. The policy covered the deaths of some family members, and it looks like some others, if those deaths were “sudden and unforeseen”—the third word might as well have been “unexpected”—and apparently not caused by antecedent health conditions. These health conditions seem to have included mental health.

Perhaps most importantly it included Laura "Luann" Bambrough" aka L'Wren Scott, a fashion plate in several senses, the author of many "L'Wrenisms," designer of many garments Mick wore on stage. She had been Mick's girlfriend from 2001 or 2 on but died on March 17, 2014. 

As a conceptual point, it is important to remember that Scott was not the insured.  Mick, his buddies, and the Rolling Stones were the policyholders.  It was not life insurance as to them.  If it was life insurance, and it certainly was in some respects, they were beneficiaries.  To the extent it was not life insurance, or if it was not solely life insurance, it was insurance of some sort—partially liability insurance and maybe partially not—pertaining to what the policyholders could and could not do as the result of something that happens to a person who is not an insured.

Of course, at least for a brief interval Scott’s death was not unforeseen by her, nor was it sudden, as to her. But that’s not the right point.  (Also, if she was just fooling round, experimenting, as it were, then her death it would not be  foreseen by or foreseeable to even her. The same might be true if she were stoned, as it were.)

What happened was that Jagger’s long-time girlfriend (since 2001, say some media sources) committed suicide by hanging herself in her luxury Chelsea, Manhattan apartment shortly before the Stones were to make a tour of New Zealand and Australia. 

The band had the kind of insurance I just sketched. The policy limits were apparently $23.9M, and the Stones filed a claim for approximately $12.7M.  The London insurers denied coverage no doubt on a whole variety of grounds.  Chief among them, of course, was that her death was not unforeseen, not sudden, and was the result of preexisting mental health conditions about which “everyone knew.” The insureds under the policy—one issued by 12± insurers (what the British call underwriters)—sued in July 2014.  Thereafter, the case moved pretty fast.

The insurer also had doubts about the need of the Stones to cancel the trip.  Probably the insurer would lose this one since Mick, 71, was immediately diagnosed with a mental problem—anxiety perhaps, feelings of guilt maybe--which disabled him for performing the kinds of things for which he was famous. His doctor had diagnosed him with “acute traumatic stress disorder,” apparently aggravated by striking grief, as he more-or-less claimed. Significantly, part of Mick doc’s script was not to perform on stage for at least 30 days.  

In cases like those of L’Wren’s death, suicide by hanging is usually sudden, although the decision as to whether to commit suicide may not be.   So far as others are concerned, it is usually unforeseen and/or unexpected.  In her case, the real issue will be her mental conditions for the considerable period of time leading up to her hanging herself.

There may have also been a "beyond her control" clause in the policy. I get this only from second-rate NY print media.  I have not seen the policy, hard though I have tried to get it. It's difficult for me to see how the insurers could lose this one.  I don't see how the insurers could lose this one, except for my She-was-merely-engaged-in-some-sort-of-dramatic-experiment idea.


 In the fall of 2014, the insurers sought to take depositions of L’Wren’s family in Utah, where some of them lived and where she grew up. They also sought to take the deposition of, and no doubt obtain documents from her NYC assistant.  She was, at the age of 49, after all an artistic fashion designer and former model. (Newspaper sources are full of pictures of her. Some wonder why a woman that elegant-looking would hang around with Sir Mick.)

At the same time and no doubt for related reasons, the insurers were interested in the fact that she had cancelled her participation at a fashion show in London not long before her death, and it was interested in her then-current financial position.  All of these inquiries were well within the kinds of things it was reasonable for the insurers to ask about.

Before any of these depositions took place, and the insurers had obtained court orders to take such discovery, the case was settled.  The media does not say what the amount of the settlement was.*  One can bet that it was substantially lower than the $12.7M originally sought, since the settlement took place just before potentially damaging depositions.  But then again, I could be quite wrong about this. (*The media reporting was in early November 2014)

Now for a completely speculative conjecture.  The principal reason for having the oddball policy the Stones did was because of concern about the road toward suicide L'Wren was on and what the band knew would be the immediate consequences for the band's leader.  In a way this was, therefore, non-performance insurance the principal of peril being the suicide of L'Wren and the principal risk being Sir Mick's short-time disabling.  (Mick's disability being another risk vis a vis the band's having to pay contract damages to the sponsors of the various concerts, or subrogation damages to their insurers.) The trouble was that if anything like this conjecture is correct, and if there were lawyers involved in planning how to protect the band against the peril-risk, those lawyers were guilty of massive malpractice in terms of advice given, preparation therefore and transaction handled, unless the band itself, or its business agents consented to the arrangement, i.e., taking yet another risk, to wit: denial of coverage by the insurers. (Theoretically, I guess, there could be coverage even for that.)

For a few more details about the case, see my blog for February 12, 2115, with the partial title "Performance Insurance" found on QUINN'S COMMENTARIES ON LAWYERS AND LAWYERING. A Supplement: In the fall of 2016, the producers of the Broadway musical "Shuffle Along" sued Certain Underwriters at Lloyds for $12M after one of its stars, Audra McDonald, dropped out of the case since she was pregnant and unable to perform and the insurer refused coverage. There also appears to be a bad faith case built into this lawsuit; it is now pending in a New York state court.  





Pollution Exclusions in Contemporary Insurance Policies



Septage Injections, Etc., Into the  Ground Can Be Contamination or
Pollutant

Michael Sean Quinn, Ph.D., J.D., c.p.c.u. . . .

               The Law Firm of Michael Sean Quinn et
Quinn and Quinn
                                 1300 West Lynn Street, Suite 208
                                             Austin, Texas 78703
                                                 (512) 296-2594
                                            (512) 344-9466 - Fax
                                E-mail:  mquinn@msquinnlaw.com


You may have thought that disputes over pollution exclusions in first-party policies and Commercial General Policies (or their near equivalents) were over. But,  No.

The recent case of Preisler v. General Causality Insurance Company [plus a bunch more insurance companies], 857 N.W. 136 (Wis., December 30, 214) proves the opposite.  The whole story is not worth telling here, nor are some of the arguments of the Wisconsin Supreme Court, so I will cut to the last lap of the chase.

Preislers, dairy farmers, had across-the-street neighbors—real human person and their corporations—who/which not only farmed but owned and ran a septic company that hauled, stored, and disposed of the waste it pumped from grease traps, floor pits, and car washes, which it combined with the human waste from septic tanks. (They hired someone else to dispose of the septage. Not even they wanted to do this so they hired a willing plumber.)  
As the court put it, in case you claim not to know and not able to figure it out, “Septage is primarily composed of human urine and fecal material, as well as. . . .”

Eventually, the Preislers complained to their neighbors that the septage their neighbors injected into the ground at least near them was adversely affecting—e.g., reducing production of--dairy production, the health of the cattle, and sometimes terminating their lives.  (In other words, as a teenage boy might put it, “The shit was killing the cows.”)

There were complaints; various agricultural experiments were tried; nothing seemed to work; this all lead to a Complaint; a tort and quasi-tort suit was on; the insurers were notified, coverage was denied on a variety of grounds, the Preislers added the insurers into their suit against their neighbors, and the insurers probably filed a declaratory judgment pleading. As would have been predicted, the insurers won.

Most important here is that one of the reasons coverage was denied was that the deposits were contaminates and therefore pollution, given the definition of “pollution” and past court decision on the general topic.

 As is usual in the last near half century, or so, business insurance policies usually contain pollution exclusions. (One wonders whether the neighbors of the Preislers asked about it. If they didn’t ask about it or if they did and were informed about it,  but decided not to buy it, though they could afford it, what word beginning with the letter “I” comes to mind?)

(Of course, there is such a thing as coverage for pollution, rare though its use is—even as an endorsement on some other type of policy. Still, it is actually available for first-party property policies, and it is available in some liability policies, e.g., those for some companies in the business of dealing with pollution problems. This would include not only the insureds here but some engineering and design companies.  Interestingly, the insureds in this case did not appear to have sought that coverage.  As one might expect, it is extremely expensive. Nevertheless, this observation proves the point that almost every type of insurance is available for anything that is fortuitous.  Naturally, bodily injuries, sickness and human death resulting from pollution are not normally excluded for health insurance policies or from life insurance.)

The District Court and the Court of Appeals granted the insurers summary judgment as to coverage based on the pollution exclusions in the various policies.  It seems that the substance complained about while confined to the soil generates nitrates into the ground water, and other water there, as well as the surface to some extent, and those are health-harmful, perhaps even to cattle.

The Supreme Court affirmed the two lower courts.  Its review of case and the twists and turns regarding the meaning and use of the term “pollution” is to be admired,  as is the dissent of the Chief Justice, the brilliant and famous, Shirley S. Abrahamson.  

(One of the majority’s most interesting point is that under Wisconsin law if a perfectly normal activity unexpectedly, but rarely, produces something which might be a pollution under more regular circumstances, perhaps should  not be counted as a pollutant in those rare circumstances. Obviously, this “rule”—or whatever it is--does not usually apply to lead paint that gets off the painted-on surface.  Interestingly, this is one of the continuing sources of pollution related insurance disputes.)

In any case, the Supreme Court ruled that what had happened to the Preislers was the sort of thing that is encompassed by relevant insuring agreements but also falls under pollution exclusions.*  It cited many Wisconsin opinions on these general subjects in its well reasoned, logical opinion, so this case will be a law school teaching case. (After all, decisions of the Wisconsin Supreme Court are often regarded as among the most important because of their depth.)

*As a general rule, insurers have insuring agreements—“You are covered, except when”—and exclusions—“This is a “when. . . .”  Some say there may be “secret” exclusions hidden elsewhere in the policy, e.g., in an insuring agreement  or in a definition, but courts seldom adopt this view..

In conclusion, it is worth noting that one of the most important cases upon the relatively large number upon which the majority relied is a relatively recent one,  Hirschhorn v. Auto-Owners Ins. Co., 809 N.W.2d 529 (Wis. 2012)(property damage caused by bat guano). Many legal arguments depend basically on analogies.




Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Expert Testimony--Insurance Bad Faith Case



DRAMATIC SURPRISE FOR PLAINTIFF -- 

WHAT TO DO? WHAT TO DO?


Michael Sean Quinn, Ph.D, J.D., Etc.
Quinn and Quinn
1300 West Lynn #208
Austin, Texas 78703
(o) 512-296-2594
(c) 512-656-9759
mquinn@msqlaw.com



*****************************************************

Imagine a deposition in  which the very experienced independent adjuster for the insurer says this:


I have always worked for insurers but I have nothing to gain by having the claim denied or having it paid, and I have nothing to gain with whether the amount paid on the claim is larger or smaller. In fact, "'[i]t would be to my benefit to find more coverage because the larger estimate I write, the more I get paid.'" He goes on to say that "insurance companies will continue to hire him as an adjuster even if he recommends payment on a larger number of claims."

Pretty much this testimony was given in the trial of Patel v. Nautilus Insurance Company, Case # 13-08-00735, 2011 WL 345967 (Tex. App. Corpus Christi--Edinburg, January 28, 2011), no review in the Supreme Court of Texas was sought.

Many lawyers representing policyholders would be surprised to hear this said, and they would doubt its truth.  In any case, 

What should examining counsel do at that point?  I will try and provide some suggestions about this in a later Blog. I will describe the case itself in another Blog. 

Friday, February 6, 2015

Insurers Shown Winning Vast Majority of Reported Cases Reveals What?





Publicly Winning Versus Privately Prevailing


Michael Sean Quinn, Ph.D, J.D., Etc.
Quinn and Quinn
1300 West Lynn #208
Austin, Texas 78703
(o) 512-296-2594
(c) 512-656-9759
mquinn@msqlaw.com



Have you ever noticed that insurance companies win most--I mean really most--of the reported cases, whether state or federal, whether trial level or appellate level, whether intermediate appellate level or Supreme Court level. (Of course, almost no insurance coverage or bad faith cases ever to SCOTUS.)


David A. Gauntlet, a universally acknowledged leading authority on insurance when it comes to intellectual property matters--the is no such thing as "Throwing the Gauntlet Down"--has noticed the same thing for intellectual property insurance disputes.  Here's what he says in his 2010 ABA book entitled IP ATTORNEY'S* HANDBOOK FOR INSURANCE COVERAGE IN INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY DISPUTES.  He says this right at  the first of the book (pp. xi-xii):

"[P]ractitioners should be aware that a number of pro-policyholder cases are unpublished. These cases often reveal how courts may address novel** issues than published precedent. [Paragraph] Practitioners should also be aware that a smaller number of published cases favor policyholders. This circumstance arose because insurers often elect not to pursue appellate review of unfavorable decisions to avoid creating unfavorable precedent that could prove detrimental to their long[er]-term financial interests. Policyholders rarely are driven by the same consideration[s,] because they typically are not concerned about making law. Thus, coverage cases will often be pursued where the amount in controversy is significant and the coverage law is not fully developed. [Paragraph] Published cases must be read cautiously. Due to the pro-insurer selectivity principle. . ., published case law may not be predictive of how courts are likely to address fact scenarios that have only been discussed in unpublished orders."

Obviously, the "Gaundlett Principle" also applies to settlements past and planned.

This observation is even "truer[,]" [if there could be such a thing,] when it comes to the insurance litigation that's starting to develop regarding the so-called cyber-world aka digital world.

It is probably not true much for routing auto and building cases. I doubt it is very true for legal mal cases, though it may be true for D & O policies, or other really sophisticated professional E & O policies. Still, his advice as to cautious reading deserves attention, thought and pondering. (Sometimes a guiding principle in thinking about to handle a legal argument is "Don't do something! Just sit there.")

*Why shouldn't this be "Attorneys's"?
**Keep in mind, the idea of novelty can be a very flexible.

Expert Testimony in Insurance Cases--Some Legal History

EXPERT TESTIMONY IN
VARIOUS TYPES OF  INSURANCE CASES:
SOME HISTORY

Michael Sean Quinn, Ph.D, J.D., Etc.
Quinn and Quinn
1300 West Lynn #208
Austin, Texas 78703
(o) 512-296-2594
(c) 512-656-9759
mquinn@msqlaw.com

*This essay was written, delivered as a CLE lecture, and then rewritten several years ago. It's purpose was to link the then new expert witness law of the late Twentieth Century and the early Twenty-First to the use of expert witnesses in insurance cases. Property insurance is taken as the paradigm. Some of the material on the expert witness law is original, rigorous, critical, and simple, all at once. relevant additions are to be added as time goes along, but it will remain a history.

There's even a little "how to" stuff in here for lawyers thinking about deposition-taking. 

\~/A  very early version was distributed at an ABA Tort Trial and Insurance Practice Section Meeting in 2005 under the title "Experts and Ethics: Are the Rules Changing." The law of evidence regarding experts has not changed much, if at all, substantively speaking, at least as to general themes. For an example of this, see McMahon v. Zimmerman, 433 S.W.3d 680 (Houston Court of Appeals (1st District), March 27, 2014). Case Number 01-12-01090. Review was not sought in the Supreme Court of Texas. This case pertains to expert witnessing in a divorce case, and it depends on Robinson a Texas case, discussed below, that fits into the Daubert-Kumho Tire pattern. 

There are spacing errors which I cannot seem to eliminate. Some single spacing is computer-storage caused error. Some single spacing is for long quotes. (As the language of the street goes these days, "Get used to it."

Here is a Table of Contents. It matches titled sectional divisions found in the text. 

I. Background: Rules of Evidence
II. Doctrinal Introduction: Pre-Daubert
III. Daubert: The United States Supreme Court and Scientific Experts.
IV. Daubert Again: Ninth Circuit Decision on Remand
V. The Kumho Tire Case
VI. Some Reactions to Kumho Tire
VII. Some Practical Observations Regarding Expert Witnessing in Insurance Cases
VIII. The Windt Argument
A. Windt's Brilliant Thesis and Some Problems
B. Windt's Mistake and Some Solutions
C. A Solution to the Mistake
IX. Conclusion



****************************************************** 


            Various kinds of expertise, expert knowledge, and the quasi-knowledge of experts (if not their testimony) have been important in the American legal system for a long time.[1] Tensions between sciences--whether actual or self-proclaimed--and the law have not been restricted to the history of the United States; they run back a long way.[2]  There have been huge controversies about the use of medical testimony in legal proceedings for quite a long time--virtually as long as the tort system has been alive.[3]  Even in the late last decades, there have been huge clashes between science and the law—or at least between the sciences and how lawyers try to manipulate the law.[4]  There have also been enormous controversies about science and the law in the area of environmental litigation.[5]  In recent years, as the so-called high-tech aspects of American life have become more important, expertise on computers, computer-related products, and computer services have become even more important.[6] 
As society becomes ever more professionalized in a great many ways, and therefore more subject to principles, rules, technicalities, and the like,[7]  we can expect expert testimony to become more and more significant.  This is true even in the fine arts.  Imagine a lawsuit arising out of whether some one was sold fraudulent art.  This has actually happened; there is, for example, a(n) (in)famous and disgraceful transaction involving the sale of a phony sculpture to a significant museum.[8]  How experts think in this area of study and that is also very important.[9]
 Now imagine insurance coverage being an issue.  This kind of litigation would almost certainly require an expert witness.  Certificate-of-insurance catastrophes, which involve what a policy actually would have said had it been issued rather than just sold, are no exception.  The Exxon Valdez insurance case in Houston proved this. Consider also how complex it has been to try to figure out just exactly why the World Trade Center buildings collapsed after being hit by airplanes at high levels.[10]  Consider how complex it was to compare and contrast what happened at the World Trade Center to what happened years before 9/11 at the Empire State building when it was also hit by a then good-sized airplane.[11] 
            One topic of this paper will be to summarize some of the important laws which currently control the use of expert testimony, especially as they apply to insurance cases.  In recent years, a lot more has been written by lawyers and law professors on expert testimony than on the testimony of fact witnesses.[12]  Generally speaking, insurance adjustment is the most important area. Interestingly enough, in contrast, some philosophers interested in epistemology, have engaged in the study of testimony in general, but these studies have not yet delved very far into the study of expert testimony.[13]  The major recently influential cases will be the focus here.  Thus, this paper will concentrate upon the Daubert case[14] from the United States Supreme Court and the major follow-up case from the same court, Kumho Tire.[15]   
The topic of expert witnessing is not exactly a new topic, as already indicated.  The logic of expert opinions has been important as long as there has been any kind of theoretical thinking about logic and the role authoritative opinion based on knowledge (i.e., something which looks like expertise) may play in reasoning, rhetoric, logical argumentation, and fallacious persuasion.[16]  As already indicated, the may is now a must, given the technical complexity of the world given computers and their wider and wider use.
            Both significant decisions mentioned above are decisions having to do with the introduction of what most of us would regard as actual, out-and-out scientific testimony at trial—or, at least, testimony highly related to and immediately based upon science, such as sophisticated engineering testimony.  Sometimes, what is now often called the “Daubert Doctrine” has been applied to ALL expert testimony including nonscientific testimony.  Obviously, decision errors in any sort of complex situations, requiring expert testimony, are always a matter of substantial interest in litigation.[17]  Nevertheless, as we shall see, from Kumho Tire, the universal application of Daubert was and is a bad idea, so a variation has replaced it—more or less.   Often, the relevant rules regarding expert witnesses is called “the Daubert Doctrine” or “the Daubert Rule.”  This is a bad idea.  That rule has no place dealing with expertise regarding insurance adjustment practices, just as it has no place in dealing with perfume snuffing, marijuana seeding, chicken sexing, cow “moo” differentiation, or psychiatric diagnosis, although not always for the same reasons.[18]  In insurance cases, the  applicable rule or principle should be called “the Kumho Tire rule,” or just “the Kumho Doctrine.”
            Another topic of this paper is the recent argument of Allan Windt regarding the use of expert witnesses in insurance bad faith cases.  The Windt argument is the most interesting proposition asserted about expert witnessing in the area of insurance in a long time.  It appeared first the Fifth Edition of his book Insurance Claims and Disputes (2007);  it was recently excerpted in the 2007 Insurance Litigation Reporter.[19]  Windt’s observations on this topic are terribly important for legal argument, so they should be studied and utilized by all lawyers dealing with insurance bad faith cases.  This observation is correct, whether Windt is ultimately correct or not. This claim here is true, even  Windt’s view may contain flaws; this is true even if Windt is ultimately wrong. This shall be argued in § VIII below.  Some of the emphasis of this paper will be on property insurance—often a favorite topic of the lawyer who truly loves essential legal problems of insurance.[20]
I.  Background: Rules of Evidence
            Before focusing upon the precise terms of  the Daubert and Kumho Tire cases and their doctrines, one has to begin with and keep in mind the rules of evidence that structure the debate.  Rules 702-04 of the Federal Rules of Evidence are the basic rules. Many states—including Texas―have adopted these, or similar, rules of evidence.  Often these adoptions—as in Texas—use exactly the same numbering system or one closely resembling one used in the Federal Rules. Here is what Rule 702 was for quite awhile—a quarter of a century—after its original promulgation in 1975:
If scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue, a witness qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education, may testify thereto in the form of an opinion or otherwise.

In 2000, an addition was made to the rule.  The existing text of the rule stayed the same, but language was added after the word “otherwise.”  The second half of the rule now reads:
 “A qualified expert may testify thereto in the form of an opinion or otherwise,] if (1) the testimony is based on sufficient facts or data, (2) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods, and (3) the witness has applied the principles and methods reliably to the facts in the case.”  [Emphases added.] 

As we shall see more clearly presently, the addition to Rule 702 is a product of Daubert and does not particularly change the rule except to explicitly embrace the doctrine of that case, which is found in the word reliable.
One of the most important things to notice about Rules 702, whether state or federal, is that experts are permitted to testify if their testimony will help the trier of fact understand the evidence.  At least in theory, this principle should allow expert witness at least sometimes to testify about contracts, about what is contained in contracts, and about the structures of contractual documents.  Consider testimony about insurance bad faith in the area of adjustment.  The general point to such testimony is establish that the adjuster and hence the insurer was unreasonable.  In many cases it is virtually necessary to say that the adjusters conception of what his job was bout was misconceived or misunderstood.  Often it is not possible to do this without saying that the adjuster misconceived his company’s obligations under the contract at issue.  Of course, exactly this testimony is as to a matter of fact.  At the same time it is necessary to talk about the insurance policy and its meaning. Thus, sometimes the two types of matters are mixed.  Here counsel should try to suggest that the expert testimony as to facts is crucial, and the part that has to do with legal matters is small anyway, since it is not really in controversy.  A summary judgment from the court can help as well.  Now we turn to the harder part.
In any case testimony about whatever will help  is permitted by the rules if the trier of fact needs to understand the evidence and will have difficulty doing so based upon common sense.   What is not necessarily permitted is for an expert to testify purely and only  as to a matter of law which is to be decided by the court.  This is true even if the expert has the knowledge, the data, the reliability, and is not speculating.  Of course, a court could hear such testimony if it wanted to do so, feels a need, or thinks it might be helped.  Interestingly, Texas and Federal Rule of Evidence 702 both support this view, since the range of permissions they set up are for the trier of fact. 
So, why would experts be permitted to testify about insurance contracts, when it is the judges―who has the authority to interpret them?  And they interpret them as matters of law, not matters of fact.  Another reason—this one pertaining to purely legal testimony--is this.  If the insurance contract is difficult to understand or follow, then an expert witness should be permitted to explain sufficient features of it so that the jury can read and understand the contract.  We have seen trial lawyers try to explain the policies themselves projecting print up onto a screen and then reading various sections.  This is not very effective. Having an articulate witness do the job will usually—indeed, almost always―be better!  Lawyers who want to do this should be ready to make this argument well before trial, if possible.  (Possibilities here rest on diverse considerations.  Here are five: (1) the date of the required expert report, if one is required, (2) the quality of the report, (3) The cooperativeness of the two or more parties, (4) the willingness of the judge, and (5) the reactions of the judge to the report if s/he has read it.)
            According to the Rule 703, a testifying expert may rely upon some inadmissible evidence (e.g., certain kinds of reasonable hearsay) if that evidence is the sort of data upon which members of the relevant community of expertise normally rely.  According to the Rule 704, an expert may testify upon an ultimate issue to be decided by the trier of fact.[21]  This makes it possible for an expert witness to testify, for example, that the defendant was negligent, that the defendant’s statements were fraudulent, that the insurer’s conduct regarding the claim was not prompt, that the defendant insurance company’s adjustment conduct was performed in bad faith, or that the insurer defendant’s conduct was an instance of bad faith.  One wonders whether an expert should be able to testify that the insurer adjustment conduct was unfair or that it constituted inequitable treatment of the plaintiff-insured. 
II. Doctrinal Introduction: Pre-Daubert
            For many years before Daubert, the admissibility of scientific evidence was structured by the Frye case.[22]  The rule in that case has come to be known as the “general acceptance” test. According to it, a court should not receive into evidence scientific evidence unless the law, principle, or generalization at issue is generally accepted by the relevant community of experts.[23] At the same time the Frye test was subject to discussion and criticism for many years.  In general, there have been two controversial issues.
The first issue is that general acceptance may not be an appropriate criterion for governing the admissibility of all types of scientific evidence.  This rule, if taken literally, would seem to prohibit new and not yet completely established—that is, cutting-edge--evidence.  This position would cover both general rules and particular applications. Thus total agreement is not a necessary condition of admissibility.  Further, if universal agreement amongst the established, were a sufficient condition for admissibility, then disastrous mistakes might be admissible, including at some times the shape of the earth or the origin of species. The second issue in Frye is that scholars and courts alike wondered whether the Frye test survived the adoption of the Federal Rules of Evidence.  After all, the language of the Frye case is not language of those rules.[24]
III. Daubert:  The United States Supreme Court and Scientific Experts
            Technically, the Daubert case appears to pertain to the second question only.  In reality, it also deals with the first question.  In short, the Supreme Court of the United States held that the Frye test did not survive the adoption of the Federal Rules of Evidence, but the court went on to indicate that these Federal Rules placed definite “limits on the admissibility of purportedly scientific evidence.”[25]  Thus, by its own terms, Daubert restricts itself to (i) testimony based upon the physical natural sciences or to (ii) testimony the propositions of which constitute scientific statements.  Thus, at least in some sense, every other statement regarding evidence and admissibility is dicta.[26] This would include expert testimony purporting to be empirically based and objective, but not scientific.  
            The presenting issue in Daubert was whether Bendectin caused birth defects when taken by pregnant women as an anti-morning-sickness drug.  The manufacturer moved for summary judgment on the basis of the affidavit of a physician and epidemiologist who stated that he had reviewed the entire literature on Bendectin and human birth defects, that this body of literature included more than thirty published studies involving over one hundred and thirty thousand patients, that none of these studies had found Bendectin to be a substance capable of causing malformation in a human fetus, and hence, that the use of Bendectin by women during the first trimester of pregnancy has not been shown to be a potentially causative factor for birth defects.  The plaintiffs opposed summary judgment on the basis of a series of their own affidavits from eight experts, “each of whom also possessed impressive credentials.”[27]  The conclusions of these experts were based upon test tube experiments, animal studies, studies of the chemical structure of Bendectin which arguably showed similarities between that substance and substances which were known to cause birth defects, and re-analyses of the published studies upon which the manufacturer’s expert relied.[28]
            The district court had granted summary judgment to the manufacturer, and the Ninth Circuit had affirmed on the basis of Frye.  The district court and the court of appeals were both concerned about the re-analyses, in effect, advocated by the plaintiff’s witnesses.  The district court found that these conclusions were inadmissible because they had been neither published nor subjected to “peer-review.”  The court of appeals emphasized this point and noted that the original studies had been submitted to review by the scientific community.  The court of appeals acknowledged that re-analyses are accepted by the scientific community, but noted that this is true only when they are themselves made fully available for scientific discussion and critique.[29]
            The Supreme Court held that the general acceptance test of Frye was inconsistent with the spirit of the Federal Rules of Evidence, which were designed to eliminate rigid barriers to the introduction of opinion evidence.  Nevertheless, according to Justice Blackmun, who wrote for the majority, Rule 702 contains principles for regulating the introduction of evidence which is purportedly scientific testimony.  First, the rule appears to presuppose that only knowledge may be introduced in the form of opinion testimony.  Second, the type of knowledge which is at issue in Daubert is scientific knowledge.  According to Justice Blackmun, these last two words together imply the principles for regulating the admission of purportedly scientific testimony.
            First, the testimony must constitute, or at least rest upon, actual, real, genuine empirical knowledge.  Of course, acknowledges Justice Blackmun, science is not an encyclopedic body of universally (or even widely) known truths about the universe.  Science changes its mind, whereas actual truth always remains the same.  Science is a process of proposing, rejecting and refining and establishing hypotheses and theories, not simply a list of truths.[30]  Thus, a proposition can be part of scientific knowledge at a given time, even if it is not—by itself--ultimately true.  Thus, according to Justice Blackmun, there are received methods for judging what belongs within the realm of the scientific and what does not.  Even though something may constitute scientific “knowledge” for now, and later be rejected, a proposition can count as scientific “knowledge” for now, only if it has been justified, “evidenced.” and perhaps recognized or accepted in certain established ways.  These canons are called “the scientific method.”  Hence, a proposition (whether ultimately true or false) can count as part of scientific knowledge if, but only if, it has been subjected to the processes known as the “scientific method.”
            Second, a proposition can count as scientific knowledge, as opposed to technical knowledge, specialized knowledge, or some other kind of knowledge, only if it has been tested by scientific means.  “Proposed testimony must be supported by appropriate validation—i.e., ‘good grounds’ based on what is known.  In short, the requirement that an expert’s testimony pertain to ‘scientific knowledge’ establishes a standard of evidentiary reliability.”[31]
            Rule 702 contains an additional requirement.  Rule 702 states that if a witness is presented to testify based upon scientific knowledge, if that scientific knowledge will assist the trier of fact either to understand the evidence or to determine facts at issue, and if the witness is actually acquainted with the scientific knowledge about which he intends to testify, then the witness may testify.  Thus, proffered evidence must also assist the trier of fact in certain ways.  Obviously, proffered expert testimony must be relevant.  There must be a “fit” between the testimony being offered and the issues before the trier of fact.  Issues of fitness are not always obvious.  A scientific theory, law, or conclusion may be relevant to one inquiry and not to another one.  But there is more.  “Rule 702’s ‘helpfulness’ standard requires a valid scientific connection to the pertinent inquiry as a precondition to admissibility.”[32]  Thus, Rule 702 involves a higher standard than does Rule 402, which merely sets minimum conditions upon relevance.  For the purposes of Rule 702, the connection between the testimony and the issues at stake must be scientifically valid and not just minimally relevant.
            According to Justice Blackmun, when faced with an offer of expert scientific testimony, a judge must engage in a preliminary determination as to whether the proffered testimony is (or, at least, is rationally based upon) scientific knowledge, whether the application of that knowledge to the facts of the case is scientific, and hence, whether the testimony is through-and-through within the canons of the scientific method.  Only then, according to Justice Blackmun, should the judge permit a purported scientific witness the wider latitude given him under Rule 702 to express opinions, including opinions not based upon first hand knowledge.
            This approach mandates that trial judges shall review proffered scientific testimony for “scientific-ness” before sending it to the jury.  The Supreme Court does not think that there are any definitive checklists or litmus tests for determining scientific-ness, but it lists a number of significant questions: 
  • Is the purportedly scientific theory testable?  (If not, then it is not scientific, even in principle.)
  • Is the purportedly scientific theory falsifiable?  (The idea that falsifiability is a necessary condition of scientific theory is associated with one of the great philosophers—or, at least one of the great philosophers of science—of the Twentieth Century, Sir Karl Popper (1902-94), a philosopher of German origin who ended up as a British subject, a distinguished writer, and ultimately a person knighted.  The court also relies upon the work of Carl Hempel (1905-97), also a German speaking philosopher, who ended up in the United States.[33]  Hempel’s conception of testing was more general than that of Popper.[34])
  • Is a depended-upon proposition falsifiable?  (If not, and if it is not part of mathematics, it is not science.)
  •  Has the applied theory been tested (e.g., in terms of falsifiability)?  (If not, although it may be scientific in principle, it is not yet actually established scientifically, although it might later be.  It should not be used now.) 
  • Has the theory been scrutinized by other scientists? (If not, it should not be admitted.) 
  • If it has been, what do the other scientists say about it?  (If they universally condemn it, then the theory should not be admitted.) 
  • Has the material been published?  If so, where?  (Publication, of course, is a good way to move towards public scrutiny of a scientific theory, but it is not the only way.) 
  • Has the theory established for itself a rate of error?  (If not, why not?  If so, what is it?)
The bullet-pointed principles just set forth are raised repeatedly in many Daubert-based opinions in both federal and state court.[35] 
            Perhaps it would be useful if these various near-rules had the following “titles”:
1.         Empirically testable basis
            a.         Falsifiability—two meanings
                        i. empirically tied and specific enough to be tested, or
                        ii. subject to (or having been subjected to) tests for falsification
            b.         Various Approaches
      2.         Tested
                  a.         Basis, or
                  b.         Actual Opinion, or
                  c.         both (depending)
      3.         Substantial agreement amongst many recognized authorities as to basis
      4.         Scrutinized by appropriate others
      5.         Recognized credentials scrutinizers
      6.         Scrutinizers have developed opinion[36]
      7.         On the same or very similar topics →
      8.         Found in the proposed expert’s opinion
      9.         Plausible statements by others
      10.       Publication in appropriate places
      11.       Low probability of error.[37]
In some ways, in litigation, the last two of these “Eleven Titles” are the most interesting.  Where was the opinion of the expert published?  What kind of reputation does the publication have?  Is publication determined by qualified experts on that subject?  How is the probability of error measured?  (For example, is it measured rigorously by established statistical methods recognized in the relevant sciences?)  If the probability of error is not measured, how is it estimated? 
            The requirement of peer-review shades off into the discarded requirement of general acceptance.  If the theory has been subjected to peer-review and it is roundly, i.e., uniformly or generally, rejected, then, presumably, it will not be admitted in evidence.  (The “bet” is that “round rejection” in the modern scientific world equals sound rejection.)  In contrast, if a theory has been subjected to peer-review and it is generally accepted, then it will be admitted in evidence.  Thus, at least under some circumstances, the rigorous Frye test remains usable and respectable. The Daubert court does not discuss what should be done with controversial theories which are recognized by some and rejected by others, however. 
            Justice Blackmun did not see the rule in Daubert as creating a free-for-all in which “befuddled juries are confounded by absurd and irrational pseudoscientific assertions.”[38]  He was of the opinion that vigorous cross-examination will further help separate the scientific wheat from the pseudo-scientific chaff, at least well enough for the purposes of the civil justice system.  This observation suggests that if a theory has not achieved general acceptance, but many of the indicia are scientific, it should be admitted and subjected to wide-open cross-examination.  Obviously, admissibility falls within the sound discretion of the trial judge; exercises of that discretion will vary from case to case, at least to some degree.  (It is worth remembering that--in theory, at least--these questions are also raised by Rule 403, which calls for the exclusion of evidence where its inflammatory potential outweighs its probative value.[39])
IV.             Daubert Again:  Ninth Circuit Decision on Remand
The Ninth Circuit took up Daubert again in 1995.[40]  The lawyers appearing before the court were an all-star cast.  For example, Charles Fried--a Harvard law professor, star conservative jurisprudential thinker, former Solicitor General of the United States, later justice on the Supreme Court of Massachusetts, and now returned to Harvard--appeared for Merrill Dow.  Alex Kozinski, a well-respected, breathtakingly intelligent, and fiercely independent now Chief Circuit Judge since 2007, wrote for the  court.  He employed a brilliant strategy in applying Daubert.
            Judge Kozinski indicated several times in his opinion that he was unsure that federal judges should be judging the quality of science.  He said that the task was “complex and daunting.”[41]  He said that part of the necessary decision-making under Daubert “puts federal judges in an uncomfortable position.”[42]  Judge Kozinski approached his task of judging the quality of science with a good deal of, humility, self-skepticism, and apprehension:
Our responsibility, then, unless we badly misread the Supreme Court’s opinion, is to resolve disputes among respected, well-credentialed scientists about matters squarely within their expertise, in areas where there is no scientific consensus as to what is and what is not “good science,” and occasionally to reject such expert testimony because it was not “derived by the scientific method.”  Mindful of our position in the hierarchy of the federal judiciary, we take a deep breath and proceed with this heady task.[43] 

Consistent with his appropriate and praise-worthy—some might say, uncharacteristic—attitudes, Judge Kozinski devised a brilliant “maneuver” in his decision.  He created a way for judges to evaluate science without getting into scientific technicalities.  He provides a way for judges to rely upon themes in the sociology of science, rather than on science itself, to judge admissibility.  Of course, that is exactly what the Frye test did.  Naturally, Judge Kozinski does not suggest that we return to Frye.  That test conditioned admissibility upon general acceptance in the right scientific community.  Judge Kozinski suggests different sociological principles, but he keeps the general approach.  He does not lay down principles which will be necessary and sufficient for admissibility.  Rather, he indicates that appropriate principles will vary from case to case.
            Under the first prong of the Supreme Court’s test:  Is the scientific methodology employed minimally acceptable?  Judge Kozinski suggests that under the circumstances of the Bendectin cases, there are two sociological indicators of reliability which were not satisfied.
    First, none of the experts appearing for the plaintiffs had undertaken their research in a context independent of litigation.  Academic and similar scientific research implies, at least prima facie, certain indicators of reliability.  The concern is that a semi-scientist doing research for a lawyer in litigation is more likely to try and make his result come our in favor of what the lawyer wants, whereas a truth seeker does not ultimately care.  He just wants to know what is true.  In addition, the people doing the research are scientists.  If they undertake research in their professional lives, it is likely to be scientific.  Moreover, their research proposals will have to be reviewed by institutions which support their research, and frequently, the scientists will be proposing research grants to others who will review their proposals, their methodology, their performance, and their results.  None of the Bendectin research relied upon by the plaintiffs was done independently of litigation. A lesson implied here is this: do not trust work done for money in the litigation before the court, if that is the only work done in the area.
            Second, one of the key factors of the scientific world is an open and free-wheeling debate.  Under the circumstances of the twentieth century, this is generally done by means of publication.  Publishing scientific articles involves a semi-guarantee of objectivity all its own.  Scientific journals are peer-reviewed.  They are not published unless scientists functioning as journal referees pass on the minimal adequacy of the scientific methodology.  Judge Kozinski regards it as significant that, although the experts for the plaintiffs had formulated and put their views forth for nearly a decade, none of them had published their observations and conclusions in any scientific journals. (Questions: Does the coming and spread of the Internet and its new modes of communication change this? How? To what extent?)
            Even more significantly, no expert whose testimony was admissible was willing to testify that it was more probable than not that Bendectin caused birth defects in human beings.  In the absence of such testimony, the plaintiff’s case would fail as a matter of law.  Allegedly, the form of birth defect caused by Bendectin was limb reduction.  But in every one thousand births, there will be a limb reduction.  Therefore, at a minimum, in order for statistical evidence to be probative of the proposition Bendectin causes limb reductions to a probability which is more likely than not, scientific, epidemiological research must establish that in the population of women who took Bendectin there were two limb reduction birth defects out of every one thousand births.  As stated, no expert whose testimony was admissible was willing to say this.  Consequently, the testimony was irrelevant because it did not “fit” and was not “helpful.”
            One of the odd features of this opinion is that the decisive factor which led the Ninth Circuit to affirm the trial court’s grant of summary judgment was the fact that the testimony was unhelpful because it was not probative of the issue of causation.  That would have been true even under the Frye test.  Had the district court, years before, made this point clear and had the district court rejected the expert testimony on this basis, the last two appellate decisions could have been avoided. One of these has been historic, in some senses, and often misused.
            Another feature of this opinion which seems important for the resolution of the case, as well as to the future of science-based litigation, is the following remark:
The opinions proffered by plaintiffs’ experts do not, to understate the point, reflect the consensus within the scientific community.  The FDA—an agency not known for its promiscuity in approving drugs—continues to approve Bendectin for use by pregnant women because “available data do not demonstrate an association between birth defects and Bendectin.”  Every published study here and abroad—and there have been many—concludes that Bendectin is not a teratogen [i.e., a substance which causes birth defects].  In fact, apart from the small but determined group of scientists testifying on behalf of the Bendectin plaintiffs in this and many other cases, there doesn’t appear to be a single scientist who has concluded that Bendectin causes limb reduction defects.[44] 

In other words, the scientists employed by the plaintiff constitute a tiny minority; they at least appear to have voices crying out of the wilderness.  Many millions of dollars should not change hands based upon views of a tiny minority of the scientific community—none of whom is highly religious.  The judiciary should sanction transfers of huge wealth only if the key testimony has at least a modicum of respectability. Doesn’t this sound like the sociology used in Frye?
            The actual Daubert Rule does not apply to the usual type of insurance adjustment case, say,  where the principal issues are whether the adjustment was done correctly and whether the insurer is guilty of bad faith adjustment.  Informal logic of various types and practical epistemology certainly apply.  Advanced physical and mathematical science does not.  This is true even if an adjuster needs a physical scientist to explain to him what happened in a possibly insured event, and even if a similar scientist is needed to help determine whether there were errors and/or bad faith in the adjustment process. 
V. The Kumho Tire Case
The Kumho Tire Company[45] case is at least as important as Daubert; it is more subtle: and it may be more subject to a kind of epistemological relativism.  To some degree, Kumho Tire extends the scope or the spread of the applicability of something like the rules formulated in Daubert, although it probably does not deepen the “Daubert Doctrine.”  Nevertheless, in some ways, it has made the doctrine more important than it might have been otherwise.  The purpose of Kumho Tire is to extend certain crucial parts of Daubert to the testimony of expert witnesses other than scientists. 
The facts in Kumho Tire pertain to engineering problems and testimony from engineers.  According to Justice Bryer, who is writing for the majority, the intent of the opinion in Kumho Tire is to extend the general holding in Daubert from “not only testimony based on ‘scientific’ knowledge, but also to testimony based on ‘technical’ and ‘other specialized’ knowledge.”[46]  In other words, Kumho Tire conceptualized district judges during trials as “gatekeepers” having “general ‘gatekeeping’ obligation[s].”  As gatekeepers, the Federal and state rules based on them, e.g., the Texas Rules of Evidence assigned to trial judges the task of making sure that the testimony of experts was both relevant to the issues before the court and jury and rested upon reliable foundations.  Since these cases were decided, the word “gatekeeper” has become widely used in a variety of legal circles.[47]
            This presents an extremely interesting jurisprudential question about Kumho Tire.  In general, court holdings do not extend at all—or, at least much—beyond the range of facts considered in the case.  The court describes the rule it has articulated, adopted, and imposed upon lower courts as much broader than that.  The facts in Kumho Tire pertain to engineering closely based upon science.  Justice Breyer, however, in a portion of the opinion adopted by all of the justices, says that the rule applies to all expert testimony which is either based upon some  kind of “technical” knowledge or any other kind of “specialized” knowledge.  The latter would include—depending on the needs of a case―the knowledge of poetry, knowledge of  relevant portions of American intellectual  history (and/or that of others), knowledge of what counts as sound legal reasoning, knowledge of what constitutes the acceptable practice of law (including the reasonable and reliable prediction of judicial reasoning), the knowledge as to what constitutes acceptable insurance adjustment, knowledge as to what counts as an accepted system of values, knowledge about how such a system is usually applied, knowledge as to how such a system may logically applied, and so forth.[48]  The list is endless, from a practical point of view.
This is why the phrase other specialized knowledge was previously emphasized in the previous paragraph, and various of its topics will be discussed again presently.  As already indicated, at least some adjustment practices count as “specialized knowledge,” and perhaps many of them do.  Notice that virtually all adjustment practices involve and nearly begin with knowledge of the controlling insurance contract, and even more fundamentally, whether there is one.  There may also be specialized terms involved, for example, in oil operations insurance policies, in policies covering computers, in legal malpractice policies, or insurance policies covering loans, default, and sometimes mortgages.  Of course, as a human activity involving human interaction, insurance adjustment involves systems of values. Systems of values pertain to human action imply systems of norms. The ideas of good faith, fair dealing, and uberima fides all have moral presuppositions, contents, and  to a considerable extent, the basic ideas of common law insurance bad faith involves the idea of deviating to a significant degree from established and accepted adjustment norms.  What they are and how they interact is a matter available to expert knowledge. Under the circumstances just described one wonders whether it matches up better with experienced adjusters or moral philosophers.
            According to Kumho Tire, when expert testimony is other than knowledge based upon genuine science, the gates of relevance and reliability should still be guarded—kept--carefully and rationally, although the testing factors might be at least somewhat different.  At the same time,
a trial court may consider one or more of the same specific factors that Daubert mentioned and doing so will help determine that testimony’s reliability.  But, as the Court stated in Daubert, the test of reliability is “flexible,” and Daubert’s list of specific factors neither necessarily nor exclusively applies to all experts in every case.  Rather, the law grants a district court the same broad latitude when it determines how to determine reliability as it enjoys in respects to its ultimate reliability determination.[49]

Thus the gatekeeping function of the trial judge is discretionary.  It is reviewed in appellate courts for whether there was an abuse of discretion.[50]  The most important thing to notice here is that all expert opinions based on any kind of specialized knowledge ought to be reviewed by the trial court at the gate which precedes the admission of new evidence.  It is not the case, however, that standard or scientific inquiry applies in every type of case.  Under many circumstances, there are the following questions:

1.                  How should a specialized area be described and marked off from other areas?
2.                  What constitutes genuine knowledge in a given specialized area?
3.                  How are claims to knowledge rationally considered and reviewed in a given specialized area?
Obviously, Q-1 is influenced, if not out-and-out determined, by the following factors, whether in isolation or together:
1.-a.     How does a relatively sophisticated and objective society describe and distinguish a relatively specialized area?
1.-b.    How does a proposed expert witness describe his or her own specialized area and what sorts of reasons does s/he utilize in deploying and defending that description?
1.-c.     How do 1.-a. and 1.-b. fit together consistently and/or conflict, when viewed from a rational point of view?

These sorts of questions can come up in a variety of areas.  How are psychiatry and psychology to be distinguished, viewed as somehow the same, or viewed as similar but somewhat different?  How is the appraisal of property damage to be performed and considered?  What is it to be an expert upon the cause-and-origin of property damage? In the context just mentioned, what is origin? How does it differ from cause? How should business interruption be measured? What constitutes sound adjustment in a complex situation?[51]  How do genuine experts objectively determine recoverable value of pain? Suffering? And so forth.

            As previously noted, the actual decision and “concrete-ish” reasoning in Kumho Tire pertain mostly to engineering.  The case announces itself, however, as having a much broader implication.  It says that it is focusing not only upon “testimony based on ‘scientific’ knowledge, but also the testimony based on ‘technical’ or ‘other’ specialized knowledge.”[52]  The focus here will be on the general principles of the case.  The most fundamental principle is that all expert testimony must be both relevant and reliable, that judges have a basic and rationality based “gatekeeping obligation” when any expert testimony is offered, and that Rule 702 “applies to all expert testimony.”[53]  This is true because all expert testimony involves conclusions tied to observations through the use of “‘general truths derived from . . . specialized experience.’”[54]  The Breyer opinion continues as follows:

whether the expert testimony focuses on specialized observations, the specialized translation of those observations into theory, a specialized theory itself, or the application of such a theory with a particular case, the expert’s testimony often will rest “upon an experience confessedly foreign in kind to the [jury’s] own.”[55]

(Obviously, this includes how fires start and spread, why elevators fall, and how pieces of art can be phonied or faked, among other things.  Many aspects upon which commercial property insurance decision-making as to claims is based will be foreign to the experience of jurors.  To a substantial degree, this even includes the process of adjustment itself.)  In any case, based upon the immediately preceding quote, and in consequence thereof, Justice Breyer, on behalf of the entire court, including those who concurred and those who dissented in part, concluded that “Daubert’s general principles apply to the expert matters described in Rule 702.”  This evidentiary rule,
In respect to all such matters, “establishes a standard of evidentiary reliability.” It “requires a valid . . . connection to the pertinent inquiry as a precondition to admissibility.”  And where such testimony’s factual basis, data, principles, methods, or their application are called sufficiently into question . . . , the trial judge must determine whether the testimony has ‘a reliable basis in the knowledge and experience of [the relevant] discipline.’[56]

According to the court, “[e]ngineering testimony rests upon scientific foundations, [and] the reliability of [those scientific foundations] will be at issue in some cases.”  Not all expert testimony outside the sciences is engineering testimony, of course.  In such cases, “the relevant reliability concerns may focus upon personal knowledge or experience. . . .   [T]here are many different kinds of experts, and many different kinds of expertise.”[57]  Thus, testimony from an art historian or testimony regarding whether art is genuine or a forgery may very well not be based upon science.  The same may be true in a variety of areas of legal life.[58]  The same may be true with regard to a variety of areas of life in the insurance industry.  Some areas may be mixed bags.  In some areas of judging reasonable performance, matters will not just pertain to physicalistic, impressionistic, and/or mathematical observations.   Indeed, the study of expertise is a growing academic discipline, and the comprehensive bibliography of writings about it is becoming enormous.  Books are not longer entitled things like An Inquiry into the Nature of Expertness; instead they bear titles like Rethinking Expertise.[59]
            Sometimes, it will be necessary for experts to testify about—and perhaps criticize--received value systems.  This is especially true in the area of professional and/or nearly-professional services, e.g., insurance adjustment.  It is important, for example, that insurance adjusters be objective.  Obviously, objectivity is a complex concept with a value component.[60]   Similarly, it is important that the process of insurance adjustment and that reasoning of insurance adjusters be dedicated to fairness. The concept of fairness is itself a concept shot filled with ethical values, some of which are received, some of which are not.[61]  Consider how all of these may come up in depositions, and even trial testimony.  There is an extremely interesting and lively literature among professors of philosophy on virtues and vices.  Academics in other areas are following suit.  One of the most significant recent studies is the already mentioned Rethinking Expertise.[62]  Another is the enormous anthology entitled The Cambridge Handbook of Expertise and Expert Performance (2006).[63]
           Consider how received values might affect depositions concerning the nature of sound adjustments. It is frequently a good idea to induce opposing experts to agree to many of the principles that adjusters, property analysts, cause-and-origin experts, and so forth have utilized.  One of the most important in the area of adjustment itself is the principle Look for coverage!  Another important principle for analyzing adjustment is this one:  Adjusters should always treat claimants fairly, justly, and rationally.  (Then again, that may be three principles, and it might be wise to separate them. Notice how two of them involve specific reference to values and therefore business ethics.) 

            Thus, the specific principles for gatekeeping stated in Daubert are not and could not be absolute and are not and could not be used in every case.  The precise principles applicable to at least some assertions about science or scientific assertions are not a “‘definitive checklist or test,’” as Justice Breyer puts it.[64]  The court asserted that “‘the factors identified in Daubert may or may not be pertinent in assessing reliability, depending on the nature of the issue, the expert’s particular expertise, and the subject of his testimony.’”[65]  Justice Breyer continues and states that the court
can neither rule out, nor rule in, for all cases and for all time, the applicability of the factors mentioned in Daubert, nor [can the court] now do so for subsets of cases categorized by category of expert or by kind of evidence.  Too much depends upon the particular situations of the particular case at issue.  [¶]  Daubert itself is not to the contrary.  It makes clear that its list of factors was meant to be helpful, not definitive.  Indeed, those factors do not all necessarily apply even in every case in which the reliability of scientific testimony is challenged.[66]

The gatekeeper requirement in Daubert is what is crucial.  When expert testimony is provided, judges have a responsibility.  They must look at testimony carefully to determine whether it is both relevant and reliable.  The function of gatekeeping is to “make certain that an expert, whether basing testimony upon professional studies or personal experience, employs in the courtroom the same level of intellectual rigor that characterizes the practice of an expert in the relevant field.”[67]  In performing the gatekeeping function, “the trial judge must have considerable leeway in deciding in a particular case how to go about determining whether particular expert testimony comes in or is excluded.”[68]
           The precise standard “concretely” utilized and applied by the court in Kumho Tire cannot, for example, be relevant in insurance cases involving tires—say, property insurance cases―since those cases would involve whether tires blew out, how, and the connection between tires being used and the trucks they were being used upon.  However, the more fundamental, underlying principles are relevant.  Here are some of the points Justice Breyer impliedly makes, i.e, some of the principles the court implied deploys and/or suggests for use.

           First, the gatekeeping judge should consider the reasonableness in general of an expert’s use of empirical observations, for example, whether observations are based upon vision or touch.  Although it is not an issue in the Kumho Tire case, a gatekeeper should ask which kinds of empirical observations are at all relevant, including observations based upon sound, smell, and so forth.  It should also ask which types are most likely to be most relevant and reliable.

           Consider an example from property insurance.  Obviously, in the analyses of fires, there is hardly any sensory evidence which is not, at least to some degree relevant.  Sight and smell are always important.  Touch may be important in determining how long the fire has been out.  Smell may be important in determining components of causation.  Even sound may be significant in several ways. Consider tone of voice in face-to-face contacts. Consider recorded messages. And so forth.
           Second, the judge will be expected to view whether an expert was reasonable and expert-like in analyzing empirical data.  Obviously, the judge needs to consider reliable analytical principles.  The relevance criteria imply that the more general data fit with the facts of the case and that the experts actually examine, analyze, and reason about the facts of the case before the court.  Testimony as to general data only is not admissible, since it is not provably relevant.[69]

           Third, a judge, while engaging in “admissibility analysis” of proposed expert testimony, should ask whether the expert drew reliable inferences.  This kind of analysis is the application of textbook deductive and inductive logic we were all supposed to study carefully (somehow or other), for example, in college “Baby Logic” courses.  (All such courses study the informal fallacies of logic, as well as formal problems in reasoning—such as affirming consequences as opposed to affirming antecedents in if-then statements.  Justice Breyer doesn’t mention the analysis of fallacies, but it is obviously part of the type of reasoning he is considering.[70])

           Fourth, in performing a gatekeeper function, a judge should ask whether the evidence‑gathering reasoning of the expert is directly relevant to the conclusions with respect to which the expert has been asked to testify.  Thus, if an expert is testifying about whether a defect in a tire caused its tread to separate, the testimony of the expert must be relevant to that very tire and the separation which occurred in that first tire. 

           By analogy, if an expert is testifying with respect to why a building collapsed or why it burned down, the testimony must be relevant to the causes of failure or destruction of that very building.  Perhaps what is really being talked about here is not the exact time or the very building, but exactly the same type of time or building, where the requirements build into exactness is quite strong and narrowing.

           Fifth, under some circumstances, a gatekeeping trial judge can (and perhaps should) permit testimony, if it is based on a general theory prevailing among genuine experts, to the effect that in the absence of evidence to the contrary, a particular event or course of events will (or should) normally be regarded as having caused some other event which constitutes or unarguably produces a loss.  In other words, if those with genuine expertise use a presumption, an expert witness should be permitted by a judicial “gatekeeper” to do the same thing.

           Sixth, when a judge is acting as a gatekeeper, s/he should not permit an expert witness to testify on the basis of principles which no other expert of a similar kind accepts and for which there is no independent authority.[71]

           Seventh, a trial judge functioning as a gatekeeper is perfectly justified in rejecting testimony where there is “considerable doubt upon the reliability of both the explicit theory” utilized by the expert and “the implicit proposition” or propositions utilized by the expert.[72]  Of course, in depositions, and elsewhere, it is a good idea to try to induce witnesses to assert the identities of all the “explicit propositions” and at least many conceptually nearby the “implicit propositions” upon which they are relying, or upon which they believe that the opposing expert is relying, like the following, which at least some would say are leading questions, or based thereon. One strategy is use leading questions. Did you rely on p? What about q? Why not? Do you subscribe to p? Why? Why not? Anything “nearby” you accept?

           Eighth, a trial judge functioning as a gatekeeper is justified in rejecting testimony from an expert where the expert’s report and his testimony are inconsistent.  If an expert asserts one thing material in a report but a contradictory proposition in testimony, and there is no satisfactory explanation, the trial judge is justified in rejecting at least that the testimony, and maybe the witness as a whole. 

           One of the most important things for lawyers to do in litigating property insurance cases is to consider the extent to which the claimants have presented claims which are consistently consistent and, if not, how inconsistent they have been and how have then been inconsistent.  This can be a jurisprudential goldfield.  It is extremely difficult to believe that an insurer could be guilty of bad faith if a claim or set of related claims are inconsistently supported.  It is always rational to question and doubt inconsistent assertions.  Trivial mistakes by claimants, of course, should not be treated in the same way.  What counts as triviality can vary from case to case; in this regard both temporal assessments, locational observations, and subtlety all have a role to play.  Precisely what that role is varies from case to case.

           Ninth, if an expert substantially denies the logical and/or rational sufficiency of his own methodology, then a trial judge is justified in rejecting the testimony and refusing to let the jury hear the expert’s opinions and his arguments for them.  Property loss evaluation experts may have problems here. Business interruption calculations in property loss cases are ever more problematic. Accountant “experts” often say, “There are several reasonable ways to calculate BI losses. I used method, and that is the one to be used here.” In response to the “Why” question, they seldom have a coherent, much less convincing, answer.

           Tenth, and finally, if a gatekeeping court looks for defenses of the expert’s methodology as applied in the case before him, and finds none, but instead finds that none of the Daubert factors, including the   “‘general acceptance’ in the relevant expert community” of the expert’s opinions or methodology, it is appropriate for the court to disqualify the expert.  This point is especially true when the gatekeeping court, through its own analysis, finds no “‘countervailing factors operating in favor of admissibility which could outweigh those identified in Daubert,’” and where neither the party advocating the use of the expert or the opposing party has “‘identified no such factors in their briefs’ or pleadings.’”[73]  Thus, if no principle from Daubert is met, the gatekeeping court can find nothing else favoring the reliability of the expert testimony, and the parties have given no such arguments, then the gatekeeping judge is justified in disqualifying the expert.  Obviously, it is important for counsel in property insurance cases to set up ways to either meet or avoid these principles.
VI. Some Reactions to Kumho Tire
           There are general agreements among scholars and critics that Daubert “precipitated a revolution in the law of expert evidence.  The end point and exact contours of which are not yet fully worked out.”[74]  This revolution, however, has raised a number of issues with a lot of dimensions.  These have been said to include the following:

(1) the role of the judge versus the role of the jury in jury trials; (2) the ideal of a uniform standard for establishing the preconditions of evidence admissibility versus the impact of such low standards on the broader promises represented by the case standard of proof as a whole; (3) the tenability of the claim that judicial evaluation of evidentiary sufficiency adequately resolves questions of low standards of admissibility when applied to claimed expertise; (4) judicial competency to evaluate claims of expertise versus judicial deference to expert communities on the validity of such claims; (5) the ideal of faith in juries to handle and evaluate mixed information more satisfactorily than any other institutional arrangement for dispute resolution versus profound suspicion that there are broad categories of information (claimed expertise among them), that juries cannot be expected to evaluate well; (6) loose standards for the scope of an expert’s claimed expertise versus tight standards for scope of expertise; (7) concern that like cases be treated alike versus normal notions of appellate deference to trial courts on rulings of evidentiary admissibility; (8) concern that different cases be treated differently versus a systemic interest of all judges in disposing of foundational issues regarding expertise on broad grounds so as to be spared by precedent from having to repeatedly consider the asserted reliability of various sub- and sub-sub-expertises in a potentially very great number of cases.[75]

Interestingly, the authors just quoted have some doubt about the emphasis both Daubert and Kumho Tire place upon the “reliability” of the expertise to be admitted:  “what’s so wrong with unreliable expertise anyhow?”[76]  After all, fact witnesses can testify even if they are unreliable and nothing else excludes them.  Their unreliability is subject to explorations and cross-examination.  Thus, the authors appear to be saying that reliability is not part of the definition of “expertise” and not part of the concept of being an expert.  Consequently, they appear to be implying that it should be explored by the trier of fact and not necessarily by a gatekeeper.

           What should we think about this? Part of the purpose of Kumho Tire is to protect clients from being poorly represented. Another part is to prevent unnecessary legal expenses and litigation cases. Interestingly, Justice Breyer, who wrote the Kumho Tire opinion, has taken a substantial interest in the relationship between current science and current law.  “The legal disputes before us increasingly involve the principles and tools of science,” he remarked in one place.[77]  Significantly, Justice Breyer has been described as the leading thinker of the court regarding relationship between science and law. 

           Another scholar discussing the relationship amongst science, the law, and courts, has been rather critical of the Supreme Court.  According to him, the court is dominated by an implicit distinction between how scientific evidence influences constitutional decisions, by shaping how the court thinks about constitutional facts, and how it thinks about the relationship between expert evidence and fact in cases of civil litigation.[78] 

           One of the most interesting critiques of recent evolution of scientific testimony and litigation is that of Cass R Sunstein, one of the leading and the most extensively published legal scholars working today. Sunstein, who recently went  from the the University of Chicago Law School to the Harvard Law School, even more recently became a senior official at the Obama White House as is mentioned from time to time as a possible Supreme Court nominee. In one recent paper, he and a co-author suggest that everyone, including scientific experts, are prone to certain kinds of biases, which make them unreliable witnesses, at least to some extent.  Upon this basis, they suggest that courts should be much more open to statistics based upon empirical evidence, as opposed to expert opinions.[79]

VII. Some Practical Observations

Expert opinions play a significant role in insurance litigation in several ways.  These
include:
  • the existence of a relevant insurance policy,
  • what policy applies, from among the x number of policies,
  • how a reasonable and informed person would normally ting about the meaning of a given or given type of policy
  • whether there is or is not coverage under the policy, sometimes depending on the loss, sometimes depending on the policy itself,[80]
  • propriety and customs in the area of reservation of rights letters,
  • standard uses and/or definitions of terms in the insurance industry,
  • standard uses and/or definitions of terms in the domains of the insured,
  • outline of needed investigations and inquiries,
  • the causes of at least the start of the loss (or injury),
  • how adjustment procedures proceeded,
·         the causal process in the spread or completion of the loss or injury  (once started),
·         the identity and nature of that which is injured or damaged,
·         the prices of the various injuries and/or damages, including a total price,
·         business interruption where appropriate,
o   period of loss,
o   amount of loss,
o   causes of loss,
o   measurement of loss
·         the identity of who is likely liable,
·         the blameworthiness of the insured, if relevant,
·         performance of insured in the claims process, and
·         insurer performance, including
o   speed and promptness,
o   methods of investigation,
o   internal adjustment policies,
o   objectivity in adjustment,
o   attention paid,
o   focus of adjusters,
o   qualities of capable adjusters, including education and training,
o   quality and nature of adjustment communications,
o   customary and proper negotiations, which are not always the same,  
o   rational reactions to settlement demands, offers, etc.,
o   insurer understanding of the policy, and  
o   availability of insurance personnel.

Obviously, the last topic black-bulleted topic is for adjusters, scholars of adjustment (to the extent that there are such things), and those with a high knowledge of the adjustment process. Some of the others are as well. The economists and/or accountants will be brought in for an assessment of damages.[81]

When it is a complex business which has been injured, MBA-types can be utilized.  Consider property insurance.   To some extent, the preceding elements on the list are for scientists, engineers, quasi-scientists, and “mere”-engineers that specialize in certain kinds of losses, and so forth. Property losses include:  fire, wind, storms of various sorts, volcanic actions, the earth shaking for some reason or another, and one thing smashing into another.  It is often said that whenever a witness is presented with respect to the cause-and-origin of a lot of property damage, the attorney presenting the experts and the attorney deposing the expert need to be familiar with and need to be able to formulate important propositions about four separate matters:

  • The type of expert usually utilized in practical terms to diagnose a physical problem (or an economic problem) inherent in a non-human physical object or cause thereby;
  • The types of observations and principles utilized extensively and recognized as authoritative by experts in the appropriate field(s);
  • The educational, and technical history of the proposed expert, plus the extent to which that expert utilized recognized fact-finding procedures and recognized more general procedures (or their opposites); and
·         In some areas of insurance expert testimony, the experts tend to deploy and utilize apparently objective principles which are common-sensical or at least sound or look like that, which are not terribly mathematical, but which can be tested against common sense.[82]

Often, these principles are not actually objectively established by scientific experimentation, and they are often not consistent with scientific studies of the causes and origins of (for example) fires.  This is a matter which needs to be studied very carefully.  Lawyers on both sides would be advised to develop substantial notebooks of objective study material—including texts and scientific studies—containing and defending the principles upon which the expert witness relies.  This is very seldom done.  It should be done in virtually every case.  If a lawyer has a case which hinges on how welding was handled, she needs to know a bit about welding.  It may even be a good idea to learn how to weld, if the case has enough money in it, or she has lots of them. I myself loved learning how to weld, some years ago.
            Here is something else which isn’t usually done, at least not very well.  Lawyers should ask both expert witnesses in depositions some of the following questions: 
  • “Upon what scientific principles did you rely in coming to your conclusions?
  • “Upon what technical principles did you rely in coming to your conclusions?
  • “How would you describe your expertise?
  • “What are the principal current textbooks which constitute an exposition of the fundamental principles upon which you rely?”  (It is amazing how frequently expert witness cannot answer this question.)
  • “What are the most important mathematical equations which are central to your field?  (In one case several years ago, the “expert” got the right one, but mis-formulated it and then said that he used it as formulated.  We had him write his equation down, and we put it in as Exhibit 4, attached to his deposition. He got it wrong, as he had to admit—much to his embarrassment—on the stand. The judge tossed him out.)
  • “What are the most important mathematical equations which you deployed and utilized in this case? (Often the answer is, “None.”)
Of course in the area of economics and accounting, the questions will be slightly different.  They will look much more like this:
  • “Upon what fundamental principles did you rely?”
  • “What are the principal textbooks or treatises discussing the principles in question, or sources setting forth and defending the use of that very principle?”
  • “Are there opposing books or articles which are respectable and established?”
  • “Are there different principles which are inconsistent with this one?”
  • “Where are they expounded and/or defended?”
  • “Does this principle you used have any limitations, and if there are any, what are they and how do they work?”
  • “Who are the most significant scholars, professors, and prestige practitioners who are the most significant when it comes to formulating and defending the principles upon which you rely?” (This is really a whole series of questions, and it can be asked as to historical times as well as current times, depending on the discipline.)
Among accountants, almost none of them who have been out of college very long will be able to answer these questions.  If they are still “in” college in the sense they are teaching in a college (or something of the sort), they may be able to come up with better stuff.  If nothing else, the inability of a proposed witness to be able to answer these questions is—at least to some degree—inconsistent with the proposition that the proposed expert is in fact an expert.
            Naturally, with respect to all sorts of experts—whether engineering, scientific, accounting, or insurance—one wants to ask about their history as an expert.  This would include questions about publication and speaking.  In addition, it should include questions about the reactions that other people have had to the ideas of the expert.  Inquiries should be made about reviews to which the study at issue in a given case have been subjected, and if there is any way to measure any probabilities of errors in that study or set of opinions.
            I am often asked whether I have ever been disqualified. Often I am not asked whether my testimony has even been limited in some way or another. I now often try to help examining counsel by answering the first question, “Not completely so far.” This leads them to ask the second question, if they are not idiots. I answer that one, “Now and then, as to some matters of law. Of course, this raises real conceptual problems in the area of insurer bad faith. Where questions which look like questions of law are inextricably mixed with questions of fact.” Bright and able examining counsel have the second sentence alone.
            Let us now turn to peer review.  It is universal in mathematics, the hard sciences, in the social sciences, often in some academic areas, such a philosophy, history, and literary scholarship.  Almost no one in the area of commercial accounting publications, law, or insurance (at least outside the university) actually subjects their speeches or published writings to anything like peer review, as that term is standardly understood.  Generally speaking, peer review means that an essay is sent to a journal.  The editor of the journal sends it—usually with promised anonymity--to reviewers, and the reviewers both write out critiques and make suggestions as to whether the journal in question should accept the article.[83]  Of course, there are variations across different fields, but the same principle applies.  Law reviews seldom do this.  When they do it, it is not very formal, and most significantly, application decisions are made by students, not real experts. 
            Insurance journals are roughly the same.  This is true for both insurance journals published in universities, and those published on the outside.  There may be some peer review for some of the insurance journals, but not much. Some of the journals for lawyers have a kind of peer review, to wit: they have attentive and knowledgeable editors who review submissions carefully. Sometimes at least law school law reviews have faculty members review articles submitted. So far as I know, this is not true with respect to “Comments” and “Notes.”
            Probably, for the lawyer opposing an expert, the absence of at least some sort of peer review in connection with a proposed expert’s publications is one of the easiest and most dramatic forms of aggressive attack upon expertise.  Attorneys advocating that proposed witnesses are experts should be attentive to this matter and prepare witnesses to construct new explanations for what was heretofore and now constitutes peer review or its equivalent.  Testifying experts would be well advised to complete their reports early and pass them around various technically-oriented people in their practice field.  This is seldom done.
            The idea of “professional expert witnessess” raises some serious questions. I have testified a number of times in insurance cases.  The usual question eventually put to me after several boneheaded tries has always been “Have you ever been employed full-time by an insurance company as an adjuster?”  The reason why this question is asked is because I am often testifying about bad faith.  There are several answers to this question.  They all begin with a single answer:  “No and Yes.  It depends upon what you mean by employ and what you mean by adjuster.”  Lawyers invariably ask me at that point to explain what I mean by “Yes and No,” and that question leads me to a carefully formulated and truthfully, speech which has heretofore always led to—or, at least, preceded--the conclusion that I am an expert on adjustment.  I am not, however, exactly a “vocational adjuster,” even though I have all the recognized diplomas, certificates and state licenses. I have spent much more time studying adjusting claims, the way insurance companies function, the way in which insurance intermediaries function, and so forth.  Strange as it may seem, much this arises indirectly from my history as a university scholar; a little of it arises thusly directly; and some comes from CPCU-type courses.  (I have ended up licenses in both adjustment and agents-and-brokers.)
            Counsel using an expert such as I might focus on the applicable rule, viz., Rule 702.  It does not require any sort of employment.  What it requires is knowledge which will help.  The rules go on to say that this knowledge can be acquired in a variety of ways:
  • knowledge itself,
  • skill,
  • experience,
  • training, or
  • education.
This list is somewhat puzzling.  Its first component sets up relevant knowledge coming from more general and abstract knowledge. The second element authorizes knowledge which comes from skill alone; this would probably be “how-to” knowledge. Obviously, these are different concepts, but they obviously exist and they are both important.
            The third element on the list is experience.  Fairly obviously, one does not have to have experienced actually doing something, if observing it being done can be a source of knowledge.  Further, one can do something—say, as part of a team—without actually being employed to do what he has done s part of the team.  Thus, lawyers work as part of adjustment teams, so they have the requisite experience, though they were never actually employed as adjusters. Also performing some types of legal services for businesses or profession my provide relevant knowledge.  I will return to the matter of experience presently.
            Probably the witness does not have to have the skill at the moment of testifying if there is a history of having the skill. Then again, I have an adjuster’s license and that of an intermediary. What does this (at least) imply about the possession of skills? Imagine whether person who lost his hands could testify as to surgical technique.  In my view, any insurance lawyer who has observed the adjustment process hundreds of time and discussed it with adjusters might well have sufficient experience.  Many of the same and similar arguments apply to the practices of insurance brokers and those of insurance underwriters. 
            The next component of the list is training.  If someone has been trained to do something, and he has this training in mind, the trainee may be in good enough shape to testify as an expert.  Imagine a lawyer who was earlier trained as a hair dresser and who functioned as such to work her way through college.  (This was actually true of an associate of mine several years ago, who had previously been a student of mine in law school.)  Surely, this lawyer might qualify as an expert on an appropriate hair-cutting-coloring-and-related-beautician-type topics, e.g., what chemicals are unreliably dangerous to use beautifying hair. 
            Finally, consider education.  If an expert is trained on insurance matters, shouldn’t he be permitted to testify about the behavior of an insurance company in the context of claim processing, particularly if that training is mostly in the kind of courses which adjuster take? Or her courses focus of what adjusters properly do?  Imagine a graduate degree in insurance biz ethics.  Some lawyers miss the fact that some people have “received” self-education.  Of am insurance  lawyer has read hundreds of depositions regarding adjustment practices and/or hundred of cases regarding this subject, there is a good chance the attorney has received satisfactory self-education.
            Let us return to the idea of and the importance surrounding the idea, often used by lawyers in litigation, that a person cannot be  an expert witness on something unless he has had exactly the experience about which he is called to testify.  Sometimes, the phrase  “exactly the experience” is intended to imply such propositions as: these. (1).  If you have not adjusted claims (or handled cases) involving buildings which are 50 stories call, the fact that you have done buildings which are 45 stories tall and buildings which are 75 floors toll does not render you  competent to adjust claims involving buildings of this precise size.  (2) The fact that you are a hand surgeon but have done only right hands on people this size entails that you cannot do surgery on a left handed person of this size.  (3) The fact that you are a leading authority of civil advocacy and procedure does not qualify to express opinions on the performances of a lawyer trying a family case before a jury.  You have to have been a family law specialist.  It does not matter that the complaints about this lawyer have to do with how the trial was conducted; you should be disqualified.  Of these three arguments are wrong.  Here is another. (4) If a man wants to testify as the business practices in the business practices of prostitution, the psychological impact of being a prostitute,  or as to the administration of brothels, he cannot be qualified to testify because he has never actually be a whore.  This is dead wrong if the proposed witness has studied these matters in the right sort of way.
            There are many who present themselves “professional experts” in the area of insurance. They are members, employees of, or contractors for the firms which sell claims services (whether to insurers or claimants), report preparation, and testimonial services.  Often these people are more advocates than dispensers of truth.  This latter characteristic—being a dispenser of the truth―makes somebody a really principled expert witness, while the former characteristic does not. Actually appearing to be an advocate for anything but truth undermines effectiveness. However, genuine expertise on the fundamental principles of insurance and of adjustment practice may be sufficient to qualify a person to testify about adjustment in connection with types of insurance with respect to which the nominated experience have limited experience. There is considerable truth to the idea that insurance adjustment is roughly the same across the board.  Of course, that is not necessarily true with respect to vocabulary and mathematical calculations.
            Here is an example. In recent years, taken from the area of property insurance claims, some of the following mistakes have been particularly obvious and painful to observe:
  • The witness didn’t understand how the business interruption loss policy worked.
  • The witness didn’t read how the business interruption loss policy worked.
  • The witness utilized erroneous economics and accounting techniques to figure out what business interruption losses would have been during a given period.
  • In business interruption testimony, significant expenses are ignored.
  • The witness did not know how business interruption type coverage worked in builders risk policies.
  • “Professional advocate adjusters,” who are more advocates than tellers-of-truth, often miscalculate costs.  For example, often, when a building is partially destroyed, the so-called expert will figure out how much it will cost to build a new building, as opposed to how much it would cost to build the old building, and add code upgrades.  The new buildings are seldom even remotely similar to the old ones.
  • Expensive components of the to-be-rebuilt building (or, the new building) do not resemble the old one. 
  • Sometimes, when a new building after a loss has to accommodate the handicapped, the wrong numbers are used.
  • Recently, there was a case in which a hotel which burned had rotten railings.  Completely different ones were substituted in a new plan.  They were not required by the code, and they were much more expensive than the old ones.
  • Often, the “professional expert” who was advocating new costs for a building uses the National Building Code, as a opposed to the local code.  Often they are not the same.
  • Frequently, when a commercial building has been damaged, advocating experts substantially increase the price of personal property to be purchased for the new building.
  • The advocacy-adjuster may not really understand how “soft costs” work in builders risk   policies, and—of course—they may work differently in different such policies.
  • More that a few times advocacy expert insurance witnesses do not really understand the problems  surrounding repair versus replacement., or how these things can be dealt with.
  • The advocacy witness may not realize that the  “value” requirements for many property policies may not apply to builders risk policies.
  • Sometimes so called expert witnesses have not determined how the litigation-host state
       Thinks about the relationship between the concepts of ensuing loss and the concept of
       faulty workmanship. Or she may not know that there are many uses of the word “collapse”: total collapse, partial collapse, and imminent collapse.  Perhaps there are even more. 
And this list could go on and on.  Analogous lists for liability adjustment are not hard to imagine, not to mention all other types of first party insurance.
There appears to be a virtually irresistible temptation when someone has sustained a substantial loss to make the claim as high as possible.  Based on a number of meetings I have attended with those representing policyholders, I believe it is safe to say that there is a firm belief amongst insured and those working for them in the adjustment and the legal process that high numbers must be used by claimants in order to prevent the insurer from reducing the claim too much. Not long ago I saw an insured and its lawyer argue in litigation that it was okay to lie to the insurer as a way to deal with the insurer’s tendency to reduce claims offers. Of course, claim devaluing by insurers just to save money for the company is unlawful and actionable. The same general point applies to liability insurance adjustment.
            There is a sensible, rational, and deeply moral alternative for insureds to follow in making claims.  Estimate them properly; formulate them correctly; work them out in understandable detail; and decline to reduce the claim.  It is amazing how often such claims are not even not threatened, but paid at a nearly reasonable pace.  On the other hand, it is often true that insurers delay payment for reasons which are difficult to figure out.
VIII. The Windt Argument
            There is another key feature of expert witnessing in a good many insurance cases.  Here is an officially, widely-accepted rule.  To the extent experts are trying to testify about the meaning of the language in an  insurance policy, that is not a factual matter; it is a matter of law to be determined by the judge and not the  jury, as if it were the trier of fact.  Under this rule, judges are regarded as able to make such decisions alone; they are regarded as able to read insurance policies; the language of the policies matter, not external evidence (unless there is an otherwise internally irresolvable ambiguity or a special term only understood by specialists in some complex industry, e.g. petroleum.  Besides, judges are supposed to know the applicable law.  Such expert testimony is therefore technically inadmissible; although often in judge tried cases, it is admitted anyway.   Trial judges sometimes reject, ignore, or disavow this rule. Of course, as already suggested earlier in this paper, this rule could only apply (at least in theory) if the policy in control needed to be interpreted, or if the bad versus good faith case is about something else, to wit: how adjustment proceeded.    
            “True enough!” says Windt, about expert testimony, partly about policy meaning, “but something important is being left out.”  An expert about insurance bad faith case involving policy meaning in the context of testifying about whether an adjustment practice was reasonable.  This  can be testifying about whether the insurer’s interpretation of its policy was reasonable.  This requires discussing the “distance” between the insurer’s actual interpretation of its policy what the policy actually or really  means.  Of course, this question does not even arise if the insurer’s interpretation of the insurance contract is correct—especially if there is no coverage.  This proposition is true, even if the insurer arrived at its interpretation by flipping a coin, asking a frog, or discussing it with a partridge sitting in a pear tree.  Those methodologies are unsound, of course, but the insurer got the answer right, by hypothesis, so how it got there does not matter, even though a judge absolutely cannot—ever!―use any of those methods. But what about insurer bad faith arising out of an erroneous and unreasonable interpretation of the policy?  This issue, Windt says, is essentially a matter of fact, and not at all a matter of law
A. Windt’s Brilliant Thesis and Some Problems
            Windt argues that the question of whether an erroneous interpretation by an insurer of an insurance policy is reasonable is a question or issue of fact and not at all an issue of law.  After all, it goes to the jury; and it has always gone to the jury, so it cannot be a matter of law. But the unreasonableness so far as interpretation is concerned hinges upon the conceptual or meaning-distance between the defendant insurer’s mistaken interpretation and the correct one. Thus, in testifying about the reasonableness of an insurer’s interpretation, the expert is not testifying as to how the judge should interpret the policy, or even as to the very best way to interpret the policy, but rather to whether the insurer’s earlier interpretation was reasonable.  In other words, “the experts would be addressing solely whether the insurer could reasonably have believed that the law supported its position.”  This is a fact issue, says Windt.[84]
            One of the sources of the expert’s testimony, says Windt, probably will include what courts have previously said about
  • the term(s) in question,
  • similar terms,
  • related terms,
  • similar clauses using different terms—assuming the clauses have the same goal or function,
  • similar policies,
  • similar insurance problems,
  • the meaning of the terms of policies, and
  • so forth.
Court decisions will not be the only source, of course, there may also be reference to
  • textbooks,
  • training manuals,
  • ISO statements, where relevant,
  • entries in relevant encyclopedias, and
  • dictionaries, of course.
Keep in mind! The final goal here is not to get an interpretation right.  That goal is to show that the interpretation of the language of the insurance used by the insurer was reasonable, or the opposite. This essentially involves the measurement of conceptual distance.  Any other goal is irrelevant.  Thus, the type of expert witness being used here is not to be used for the purpose of convincing the judge what interpretation of the relevant language of the policy  should adopt.
            In line with this reasoning, Windt points out that nothing outside the data of that which makes an interpretation of an insurance policy reasonable should—or need--be admitted into evidence or used by the expert witness. Windt states,  “If there is nothing in the policy language that creates a legal duty to do what the plaintiff’s expert witnesses say the insurer was obligated to do, what then is the source of the legal duty?  Industry practice?  Of course not. The source of duties is the law and the insurance  contract.”[85]  Industry adjustment practice does not by itself establish the existence of an insurer’s duty.  However, legal duties—including recognized and accepted duties--regarding adjustment derive, at least in part, from insurance law and insurance contract.
            As brilliant as these observations are—or, at least, seem to be to me--there are problems with this view.  Four of them will be discussed here.
            First, Windt’s view of the expert testimony in bad faith cases requires that the judge have announced his decision as to the meaning of controversial terms in the conflict before the expert testifies.  That is one of  the only ways the type of expert under discussion could not be testifying, at least in part, as to the meaning of the language of the insurance contract, and hence  a matter of law. The other way, of course, if for the witness to avoid saying what the contract means but just testify conditionally about meaning:  “If the policy means this, then here is what is true about the quality of the insurer’s adjustment.  If the policy means that, then here is what is true about the insurer’s adjustment process. Let us look at the two opposing expert witnesses.  Let’s start with the witness for the insurer. I will call him Irving or her Isabelle, take you pick.
             Remember, this witness—like the opposing witness—will be testifying as to the quality of the insurer’s adjustment of a claim, or group of claims, if the insurer was wrong when it denied coverage. The expert Irving is going to testify, in effect, that the insurer’s interpretation of its policy is wrong, given the properly understood existing law, but still reasonable.  In other words, it’s not outrageously, absurdly, or even dumbbell wrong; it’s not very wrong; indeed, it’s not substantially wrong.  It’s wrong but only reasonably wrong; the error is the kind of error a reasonable, experienced, and informed person—that is, an able and rational, fair, and objective insurance adjuster―could made while reading and reflecting upon this policy, while functioning as an insurance adjuster.   Hence, this phrase probably means, among other things, not very wrong.  The part  of this testimony that pertains to how wrong the insurer was—given the specified meaning of the policy--may actually be some sort of matter of fact, difficult as that it to understand.  This expert testimony cannot be given, without any inclusion of testimony as to the law, unless the judge has explicitly ruled.  But often—indeed, usually—this does not happen. This ruling would take partial summary judgment, or something of the sort, or the coverage case would have to be tried before the bad faith case is tried.  
            Now let’s look at what the testimony of the policyholder’s expert witness on bad faith will look like.  It may not be exactly the opposite, but it will be close.  Remember not all bad faith grows out of policy interpretation; some of it grows out of situations contrary to what can be counted as reasonable adjustment practice—say, because the insurer took way too long to adjust the claim―or out of other situations where the interpretations of the policy is not an issue.  In discussing Windt, I am interested only  in situations where the policy is said to have been misinterpreted.  This expert witness, call him Ivan or her Ivana (take your pick), will say that the insurer was unreasonable in its interpretation of the policy, so that they adjustment was consequently something unacceptable.  The witness might even say that the mistake was substantially wrong (at least), very wrong, outrageous, dependent upon absurdity, and perhaps even dumbbell wrong.  The testimony will have to depend upon language, at least to some degree, but it may well turn to factual matters, such as how informed and reasonable adjuster and adjustment managers understand claims like this.[86]  Almost certainly the adjuster and his department will be classified as failing to look for coverage, being without objectivity, and of being biases.  (After all that adjuster is paid by the insurer or by an independent agent that is paid by the insurer.)
            Of course, the witness for the policyholder will enthusiastically assert that the insurers interpretation was wrong. (For example, s/he will enthusiastically say that the ensuing loss exception to the faulty workmanship exclusion does not require an intervening independent  cause of some sort.   S/he will say that all one has to do is look at the language to see this.  Of course this will not go over well in all states.  Just the ones that have gotten the law right.) 
            Second, another problem grows out of the first. In order to obtain the kind of reliability and the kind of lack of speculation required for expert testimony, the witness would have to have, know, and accept the standard for measuring differences in meaning between two interpretations of the same word.  The witness would have to be  able to explain why the insurer’s interpretation is wrong but reasonable. I know few people who know with—self-consciousness―about insurance adjusting and who also know they that have knowledge as to this kind of semantic or linguistic measuring rod.  Those who intuitively grasp this kind of sociology of language often do not understand what they know. They cannot present it as if it were scientific knowledge—which it probably isn’t anyway.   They probably would not be inclined to assert that their measuring device is objective—even though it may well be.
            Fairly clearly, this testimony cannot be given without reliance upon the meaning of the language in the contract of insurance.  Usually this language is not in the same speciality classes that of mathematics, engineering, physics, musicology, computer science, or petroleum drilling and the like, where it is common to have people with years of experience bout precisely whatever is being named and discussed to testify as to meaning.  Even trying to depend on how other objective insurers understand the standardized policy will be an indirect reliance upon the language of the contract, since there have to be an endorsement of that view as the correct view of the language itself.
            Third, the correct answers to a question about whether an interpretation of a term or phrase is reasonable may well depend upon how that term is actually used in the appropriate sector of life, to wit: the insurance adjustment sector.  Meaning and use are closely related, if not identical.[87] Suppose an insured plaintiff wants to say that the words “investigate” and  “investigation” to be found in a property, and even a liability, policy has a certain meaning.  Proving that the word is used in a certain way in the adjustment sector of the insurance industry would be a good start, at least.  Moreover, empirical support for the witness’s claims about how the term is used would include reference to the kinds of adjustment activities that are usually performed, as a general custom or practice, and called or classified by the term under discussion.   If so, then adjustment practice does have some relationship to what is usually done, although it is not a necessary or automatic connection. Still, it is undeniably a matter of fact.  Nevertheless, conceptual distance is involved; consequently, so is the correct interpretation of the policy.
            Fourth, if an expert is going to testify that a term, phrase, or sentence in a policy may reasonably be understood in the way the insurer did, even though that interpretation was and is wrong, how could the witness testify that it was not unreasonably wrong?  Are there no known measuring rods which are objective? Expert testimony must be grounded, reliable, actually expert, and non-speculative.  Hence, the expert would have (1) to testify based on his own well-grounded expert knowledge of the language, or he would have (2) to be testifying about how others in the insurance industry use that language when speaking objectively and not in the context of advocacy, or (3) he would have to be making reference to actual practice in the industry, or (4) he would have to base his testimony on explicit passages in actual dictionaries.
            This last alternative, and perhaps some others, contain a problem. If the meaning of the word in a standardized insurance policy—or a word which is often used in a variety of policies—has its correct meaning and its reasonable misinterpretations based on contents of the empirical world, then there will be adjustment activities under that policy which are always obligatory.  But the  closer we get to Kumho Tire, the more problematic the problems generated by the factuality of the testimony become. The fact at issue cannot be genuinely established without scientifically or at least empirically investigating what is actually being done in adjustment and not done. Unfortunately, if the language of even standard policies as regards adjustment practices  depends—or mostly depends—upon common English using quite general terms, then there are likely not going to be perfectly uniform practices. Still, with form polici0es, thee are likely to be relatively uniform practices, even with respect to interpretation. If so why would systematic deviations of this or that interpretation ever be reasonable?
B. Windt’s Mistake & Some Solution
            Windt argues that expert witness testimony in bad faith cases arising out of unreasonable interpretation is entirely a question of fact.  This claim cannot be true.  The testimony of the expert witness which is under discussion is a comparison and a contrast between the correct interpretation of the actual meaning language of the policy and the interpretation generated and used by the insurer.  One thing is sure, the type of testimony under discussion is not testimony s to a matter of fact simply because bad faith cases have “always” gone to the jury.  First, the word “always” here is way to strong.  There haven’t been insurance bad faith cases for long enough.  Second, it may well be, that the judges simply haven’t figured how to handle the paradox yet, but they have to get the cases over with on a relatively short. Third, they may be in the process of creating an exception of the “Very little—almost no―witness testimony as to matters of law” rule, because times have changed and it needs to be done.  So, let’s see what other alternatives there are.
            Conceptual distance between meaning as deployed by an insurer and true-plus-actual legal meaning involve at least two questions, at least; one of them is legal (the one regarding the actual legal meaning of the policy), and one of them is factual the one regarding (the distance between insurer’s interpretation from the legal meaning).  It could be described as “hybrid testimony.”  If this is the actual structure  of the problem, then the judge should answer the first one, and the expert should answer the second one.  This approach would require the judge to rule on meaning first.  The trouble is that it is not really a hybrid.  The two points are really logically distinct.  They are not bread together like golden retriever and a poodle to form a golden doodle, or—to give a better known case--a horse and a donkey to get a mule.
            Or maybe not!  Here is a second variation.  The judge could let the expert say whatever s/he wishes regarding actual legal meaning, and then explicitly correct it or adopt the expert’s view later.  This second approach is a bad idea.  It would ruin reasonable expert testimony if it contained a mistake regarding actual legal meaning, even if that mistake were relatively trivial. The trouble is that the first approach is not standard practice today, and it may be quite difficult to get trial judges to adopt it.  This is true even if cross motions for summary judgment are used.
            Here is a third variation which might work in some cases  The expert begins by indicating that s/he is not going to state what the true legal meaning of the policy is.  S/he states that s/he will begin with a simply principle of rational adjustment, and then will state the principle.  Here it is.  If a reasonable number of courts have fairly recently stated and authoritatively  utilized a meaning for the relevant section of the insurance contract, then it is not—or is only rarely--bad faith for an insurer to deploy that meaning, so long as that view has not been rejected by the court of final authority in the jurisdiction whose law applies and so long as this deployment is consistent with the insurer’s practices, its manual, its guideline, or its internal, substantive teachings ( if any, some, or all  of the last four exist).  The witness would then testify as to what the various cases say and to how many there are and to how much disagreement there has been.  This last component of the testimony is not testimony as to law but as to history.  The testimony does not concern what cases are right or which ones should be adopted as the law.  It concerns only what the insurer had to take into account.  Either that, or the court would be creating a narrow—but useful and needed—exception to the long established rule.
            Are any of these solutions certain to work?  Obviously, the opposite is true.  Could counsel set forth all three of them?  The answer again is “Yes,” but still that does not guarantee anything.  Of course, in the absence of an agreement with opposing counsel, there will be opposition on every front.    The virtue of an approach like this is that it avoids the idea that the expert is testifying as to actual meaning.  Nevertheless, it should be kept in mind that this strategy will be expensive.  Here is another route.
C. Solution
            Here is another way to go.  The expert testifies that s/he can specify X number of possible legal meanings, although there may be others.  The expert says that s/he is not going to try and testify which one is the correct statement of the legal meaning of the policy.  Instead the expert will specify what the insurer used as the meaning of the policy.  S/he will then testify that the explication the insurer used is not conceptually distinct from any one of those, and—indeed, if true—that is twin-ishly identical to, sibling of, or cousin of this one, that one, and/or the other one, of the X number of interpretations. 
            If the expert is appearing for the plaintiff, it would testify to exactly the opposite at one or more steps.  Now, it’s particular beautiful of the insurer’s witness includes the actual legal meaning—a matter which will be decided by the judge at the end of the trial—on the X list.  And, of course, the opposite is true, if the expert is testifying for the plaintiff and against the insurer.
IX. Conclusion
            So that is the summary of some of this?   First and most significant:  the Daubert-Kumho Tire standards do not work for expert testimony in cases, or parts of cases, where insurance adjustment is the central issue.  The same is true, of course, for most forms of malpractice except where science is central to the profession. Second and most recent: the brilliant theory proposed by Windt will not work as a coherent theory, although it may sometimes work in practice.  The pattern of cases he cites in his article and book certainly needs explaining.  Third, the applicable rules of evidence are often ignored, in part.  Most of the rules state and/or make clear that learnedness is a sound source of expertise and that employment histories re not a necessary condition for an expert’s being qualified.  Fourth, there are many sources of objectivity and epistemological trustworthiness other than science.  Fifth, the first summary point can be more generally put: science does not work very well as criteria for expertise in nuanced and complex human practical activities, as opposed—say—to the impacts of physical objects.
            Here is another possibility.  Insurance policies are so little understood, that it makes sense to create an exception to the “No expert testimony as to matters of law”—Rule.  Basing this call for change on the observation that insurance policies are not widely understood won’t get us very far.  The idea contains too many problems.  Maybe we should ignore the problems and accept Windt’s view as the right rule, even if it is not correct in the end.  We haven’t figured out as way to revise the established and mostly accepted rule yet.  So whatever problems the “Windt Revision” may have, it is an effective rhetorical position, so we should go with it.




[1] David L. Faigman, Laboratory of Justice:  The Supreme Court’s 200-Year Struggle to Integrate Science and the Law (2004).  See John Henry Schlegel, American Legal Realism & Empirical Social Science (1995) for a more theoretical discussion and for discussion of social “scientific” experiments performed by law professors and legal theorists.  Under today’s rules, these fellows probably would not qualify as social scientific experts.)

[2] See David L. Faigman, Legal Alchemy: The Use and Misuse of Science and the Law (1999). 

[3] Tom Baker, The Medical Malpractice Myth (University of Chicago 2005); Thomas Rogers Forbes, Surgeons At the Bailey:  English Forensic Medicine to 1878 (1985); James C. Mohr, Doctors & The Law:  Medical Jurisprudence in the Nineteenth-Century America (1993), Regina Morantz-Sanchez, Conduct Unbecoming a Woman:  Medicine on Trial in Turn of the Century Brooklyn (1999);  Joel Peter Eigen, Witnessing  Insanity:  Madness and Mad-Doctors in the English Court (1995);  the last one runs back into the Eighteenth Century, long before psychiatry was a recognized medical specialty.)   For a contemporary and more practical discussion of doctors as expert witnesses, see Hon. Hiller B. Zober & Stephen M. Rous, M.D., Doctors and the Law:  Defendants and Expert Witnesses,  131-195 (1993).  (At the time of writing, Zober was a district judge in Massachusetts, while Rous was a professor of urological surgery at Dartmouth.

[4] Marcia Angell, M.D., Science and the Law:  The Clash of Medical Evidence and the Law in the Breast Implant Case (1996).  For an earlier controversy see, Peter L. Schuck, Agent Orange and the Trial:  Mass Toxic Disasters in the Courts (1986).

[5]  See, for example, Sheila Jasanoff, The Science and the Bar:  Law, Science, and Technology in America (1995), Stephen Goldberg, Culture Clash Law and Science in America (1994) and Kenneth R. Foster, David E. Bernstein, and Peter W. Huber, Phantom Risk: Scientific Inference and the Law (1993). 

[6] For an account of interesting trends in this area of the economy, see Martin Campbell-Kelly and Dniel D. Garcia-Schwartz, From Products to Services: The Software Industry in the Internet Era, 81 Business History Rev. 735 Winter 2007).  See also the second volume of  James W. Cortada, The Digital Hand: How Computers Changed the Work of American financial Telecommuniations, Media, and Entertainment Industries (Oxford 2006).

[7] Lee Taylor, Occupational Sociology (1968).

[8]Edward Dolnick, The Rescue Artist (2005) (about Charley Hill ane his searches for stolen art, including some discussing of insurance), see Thomas Hoven, False Impressions:  The Hunt for Big Time Art Fakes (1996). See also Simon Houpt, Museum of the Missing (Sterling Publishing, 2006),  Michael P. Thompson and David N. Stone, Insider Theft Biggest Risk for Art Insurers, 11 National Underwriter 15 (April 9, 2007), and Steve Tuckey, Stolen Art Is Sold Online: Expert, 11 National Underwriter: Property & Casualty 26 (May 7, 2007).  

[9]See also Malcolm Gladwell, Blink:  The Power of Thinking Without Thinking 3-8, 255 (2004).  What is extremely interesting about the book Blink is that the author emphasizes the role of intuition and coming to the right conclusion.  That is obviously quite different than the way in which a conclusion is justified.  Thus, discovery, the formation of hypothesis, and to some extent expert reasoning in the original part of discovery, are different from reasoning when one is trying to justify one’s already formulated ideas as justified conclusions.  This is a fact widely known among observers of the sciences, including philosophers of science, but it is not widely recognized explicitly by courts—at least not yet.  It is also not clear what role it should play in jurisprudence, although it is obviously involved in how lawyers and judged think.  As of  the spring of  2009, Blink had been on the Nonfiction section of the New York Times paperback bestseller list for 75+ weeks.  Before that, of course, the book was on other components of its best seller lists.  Galdwell is an extraordinarily popular business author.  His book The Tipping Point, which is  study of fads and their impact on business (and other) thinking, has been on the list for 230+ weeks, as of the same rough date.  And his newest book, Outliers, has been on and at or near the top of the general, hardback Nonfiction bestseller list for nearly 20 week as of  May  2009.  Pretty much he same things are true with respect these books and  the Business Bestseller List in the Wall Street Journal   One wonders whether someone can be an expert on business administration without having familiarity with the writings of this author.   The production of  creative ideas by Malcolm Glandwell does not seem to stop.  His latest is How Davie Beats Goliath, The  New Yorker 40 (May 11, 2009) (containing discussions on how underdogs can defeat favored opponents).



[10] Why the Towers Fell: The Collapse: An Engineer’s Perspective, Nova On Line, www.pbs.org/wgbh/nove/wt/collapse.html (March 8, 2005).

[11] Matthys Levy and Mario Salvadori, Why Buildings Fall Down:  How Structures Fail 25-30 (New edition 1987).  The just cited book is a companion to another, related  book by one of the same authors.  Mario Salvandori, Why Buildings Stand Up:  The Strength of Architecture  (1980).  For cases involving architectural collapse, whether total or partial, these two books are extremely helpful for the lawyer not already learned in technical matters.  See Mitchell Pacelle, Empire: A Tale of Obsession, Betrayal, and the Battle for an American Icon 44-45 (2001) for a short summary of the first of the two events.

[12] See Stephen D. Easton, Attacking Adverse Experts (2009).  Consider Cynthia H. Cwik & Clifton T. Hutchinson, Admissibility and Use of Expert Evidence in the Courtroom, Monograph  Number 8 (ABA Section of Science and Technology, 2009).   This “Eighth Monograph” is 652 pages long.  See also Graig S. Neckers & Todd W. Millar, The Opponent’s Expert: Preparing for the Most Important Deposition in the Case, FDCC Quarterly 145 (Winter 2009).  There is a website on the topic: Expert Communications.  Attorney David Tirella wrote a short paper for the website entitled Expert Witness Qualifications ( December 2, 2008).  He said there were four of them, at least one of which was necessary to qualify: Practitioner, Published, Professor, and Presenter.  See also Robert Ambrogi, When Your Own Experts Disagree, www.ims-expertservices.com/newsletters May 2009).  And there is material in the law reviews.   See David Bernstein, Expert Witnesses, Adversarial Bias, and the (Partial) Failure of the Daubert Revolution, 93 Iowa L. Rev. 451 (2008) (advocating a new “connoisseur theory’ of admissible expert testimony, e.g., 480-81).  See also Judge Harvey Brown, Eight Gates for Expert Witnesses, 36 Houston L. Rev.  742  (1999) (an immensely popular and widely cited essay written by an experienced Houston trial judge)(Here are the 8:  helpfulness, qualifications, relevancy, methodological reliability, connective reliability, foundational reliability, reliance upon inadmissible evidence used by others, and Rule 403.)  Expert witnessing now even pays a role in some movies.   See David S Caudill, Idealized Images of Science in Law: The Expert Witness in Trial Movies, 82 St. John’s L. Rev.  921 (Summer 2008).

[13] The principles of this focus in the literature are significant volume published by the Clarendon Press of Oxford Publishing.  C.A.J. Coady, Testimony: A Philosophical Study (1992).  It is amazing how much academic philosophers have written on this topic since 1994, or so.  As a separate focal point, this was a new application of epistemology, and very old philosophical topic.

[14] See generally Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579 (1993). 

[15] Kumho Tire Company, Ltd. v. Carmichael, 526 U.S. 137 (1999).   Some evidence scholars wondered whether Melendez-Diaz v. Massachusetts, 557 U.S. 305 (2009) will have an impact on Daubert and Kumho Tire, when it is decided will have an impact on these two cases and if, so, what it would be. The answer is "No," at least as applied in situations like this one. In fact, it's simple "No. No."  (Edward, J. Imwinkelried, Questioning Forensic Evidence, 31  The National Law Jounral  11 (May 4, 2009).  Professor Imwinkelried taught evidence at Cal-Davis when his 2009 article was published. His worry was not really a rational one, I think.)
                                                                                                                                    
[16] For a history of various kinds of theories, see Douglas Walton,  Appeal to Expert Opinion:  Arguments from Authority (1997).

[17] See Dietrich Dörner, Logic of Failure:  Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations (1996).  The original German edition entitled Die Logik des Misslingens  (1989).  (The German edition was translated to English by Rita and Robert Rinber.)  (“When we fail to solve a problem, we fail because we tend to make a small mistake here, a small mistake there, and these mistakes add up.  Here we have forgotten to make our goal specific enough.  There we have over generalized.  Here we have planned to elaborately, thereto sketchily.”  Id. at 7.  Obviously, under at least some circumstances, this is the kind of thing experts are talking about.  “In complex situations it is almost always essential to avoid focusing on just one element and pursuing only one course and instead to produce several courses at once.  In a system complicated by interrelationships, however, partial goals often stand in contradictory relation to one another.”  Id. at 64.  Think of the kinds of mistakes experts can make in these kinds of contexts.  “Contradictory goals are the rule, not the exception, in complex situations.”  Id. at 65.

[18] See Bernstain, n. 12, supra.

[19] See Volume 29.19 (December 2007). Cited hereafter as “Windt.” There is no substantial substantive distinction between Windt then and Windt now on this point. 
See §VIII  later herein.

[20] See Leonard E. Murphy, Andrew B. Downs and Jay M. Levin, Property Insurance Litigator’s Handbook (2007).   Part of this book is devoted to the use of expert witnesses in property insurance cases—see its Chapter VII.
Herein after cited as “Murphy.”

[21] Given Rule 704, it is difficult to see how otherwise valid expert testimony can “invade” the province of the jury. But see Crow v. United Benefit Life Ins. Co., 2001 WL 285231 (N.D. Tex 2001)(Fish, J.)  There has been authority for this proposition for a long time. See Birchfield v. Texarkana Mem. Hosp., 747 S.W.2d 361 (Tex. 1987), which held—among other things—that it is permissible for an expert to express in testimony the opinion that the defendant’s conduct was negligent, grossly negligent, or reckless. Id. at 365. 
[22] Frye v. United States, 293 F. 1013 (D.C. Cir. 1923). See Jon A. Hommerbeck, Frye Jurisdictions:  New Limitations on Expert Testimony?  For the Defense 10 (Nov. 2004).

[23] Id. at 1014.  “Just when a scientific principle or discovery crosses the line between the experimental and demonstrable stages is difficult to define. Somewhere in this twilight zone the evidential force of the principle must be recognized, and while courts will go a long way in admitting expert testimony deducted from a well-recognized scientific principle or discovery, the thing from which the deduction is made must be sufficiently established to have gained general acceptance in the particular field in which it belongs.”  Id.

[24] For an interesting elaboration upon the logical structure of expert testimony see Edward J. Imwinkelried, the “Bases” of Expert Testimony:  The Syllogistic Structure of Scientific Testimony,  67 North Carolina L. Rev.  1 (1988).  (The so-called “Major Premise” of any expert argument would be the principle to which the experts subscribed, such as a scientific law, an engineering principle, or something of the sort.  The “Minor Premise” would be a description of facts upon which the expert is relying.  The idea of major premises and minor premises comes from ancient logic running back to Aristotle and even before.)

[25] Daubert, 509 U.S. at 589.  Justice Blackmun, who delivered the opinion of the Court, described Daubert as a case in which the court was “called upon to determine the standard for admitting expert scientific testimony in a federal trial.”  Id. at 582.

[26] Michael Sean Quinn, Argument and Authority in Common Law Advocacy and Adjudication, and Irreducible Plurality of Principles, 74 Chi.-Kemp L. Rev. 655 (1999).

[27] Daubert, 509 U.S. at  583.

[28] For a discussion of this evidence see Michael D. Green, Bendectin and Birth Defects (1996).

[29] Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 951 F.2d 1128, 1131 (9th Cir. 1991), rev’d 509 U.S. 579 (1993).

[30] See Roland Omnès, Quantum Philosophy:  Understanding and Interpreting Contemporary Science (1999).

[31] Daubert, 509 U.S. at 590.

[32] Id. at 591-92.
[33] Id. at 593.

[34] For a short and understandable exposition of  “Popperianism,” see Bryan MacGee, Philosophy and the Real World: An Introduction to Karl Popper (Open Court 1985).

[35] See, for example, E. I. duPont deNemours and Co. v. Robinson, 923 S.W.2d 549 (Tex. 1995). See, Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals v. Havner,  953 S.W.2d 706 (Tex. 1997).  A witness having credentials and an opinion does not make his testimony admissible. Id. at 712.  Admissibility requires data, objectivity, argument, and reliability.  See also Coastal Transportation Co., Inc. v. Crown Central Petroleum Corp., 136 S.W.3d 227 (Tex. 2004)(Conclusions and speculations are not evidence since, by themselves, they do not make propositions of material fact more or less probable. Id. at 231.  One wonders if this is true.) Finally see Gammill v. Jack Williams Chevrolet, 972 S.W.2d 713 (Tex. 1998); it holds that all admissible expert testimony must be both relevant and reliable, and the testimony must have with it bases offered to show its reliability. Id. at 726.

[36] Put 6, 7, & 8 together as a group.  Each is a distinct unit of an important group.

[37] Keep in mind: these titled conjoined together are not a sufficient condition for being true, or even scientific.  They are helpful evidence, however, and even more helpful rhetoric.

[38] Id. at 595-96.

[39] Justice Rehnquist, with whom Justice Stevens joined, concurred in part and dissented in part.  He thought that the rule in Frye did not survive the adoption of the Federal Rules of Evidence.  On the other hand, Justice Rehnquist was concerned that the opinion of the majority required trial judges to become “amateur scientists” in order to perform their gatekeeper function.   

[40] Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 43 F.3d 1311 (9th Cir. 1995).

[41] Id. at 1315. It this not a version of Justice Rehnquist’s concern in his partial dissent?

[42] Id.

[43] Id. at 1316.

[44] Id. at 1314 (internal citations omitted).

[45] Kumho Tire Company, Ltd. v. Carmichael, 526 U.S. 137 (1999).

[46] Id. at 141. (Emphasis added.)

[47] John C. Coffee, Jr., Gatekeepers:  The Professions and Corporate Governance (2006).  Coffee is the Adolf A. Berle Professor of Law at Columbia University Law School and Director of its Center on Corporate Governance.

[48] See Quinn, supra n. 26.  So what is the restriction in Justice Breyer’s Rule?  Maybe it’s this:  the broad rule of Kumho Tire is linked to knowledge, i.e. propositions.  It is not linked to expertise derived from skill, e.g., how to balance on a rope 300’ in the air.  Obviously, that too is an expertise.   Then again, the distinction is not always firm.
See Maxine D. Goodman, Slipping Through the Gate: Trusting Dauber and Trial Procedures to Reveal the “Pseudo-Historian” Expert Witness and to Enable the Reliable Historian Expert Witness—Troubling Lessons from Holocaust-Related Trials,  60 Baylor L. Rev. 824  (Fall 2008)

[49] Id. at 141-42.  (The italics are in the opinion.)

[50] General Electric Co. v. Joiner, 522 U.S. 136 (1997).  The Joiner case along with Daubert and Kumho Tire are sometimes described as the “Daubert Trilogy.” Lewis H. LaRoue and David S. Caudill, 35 Seton Hall L. Rev. 1 (2004). The Joiner case was about whether polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) caused small cell lung cancer in Robert Joiner.  The district court had applied Daubert straightforwardly and had eliminated one of the plaintiffs experts on causation.  Upon appeal, the Eleventh Circuit held that it did not use the usual abuse of discretion standard in reviewing the courts decision.  Because of the technicality of Daubert it reasoned that a different and stricter standard applied.  The Supreme Court reversed, holding that “abuse of discretion is the proper standard by which to review a district court’s decision to admit or exclude scientific evidence.”  The court also reviewed the court’s discussion of the scientific sources the plaintiff’s expert utilized and observed that its reasoning was correct.  The expert had relied on four cancer studies from around the world, but none of them had explicitly related an increase in cancer to PCB presence.  Chief Justice Rhenquist wrote for a unanimous court.  He observed that the Daubert decision had held that “the ‘austere’ Frye standard of ‘general acceptance’ had not been carried over into the Federal Rules of Evidence.”  However, “while the Federal Rules of Evidence allow district courts to admit a somewhat broader range of scientific testimony than would have been acceptable under Frye, they leave in place the ‘gatekeeper’ role of the trial judge in screening such evidence.  A court of appeals applying ‘abuse of discretion’ reviewed to such rulings may not categorically distinguish between rulings allowing expert testimony and rulings which disallow it.”  522 U.S. 139-40.

[51] Consider the complexities in the work of Dörner, some of which have already been quoted.
See supra n. 14.  Consider what kinds of problems this raises for experts:  “Anyone who has a lot of information, thinks a lot, and by thinking increases his understanding of a situation will have not less but more trouble coming to a clear decision.  To the ignorant, the world looks simple.  You can pretty much dispense with gathering information, it is easy for us to form a clear picture of reality and come to clear decisions based on that picture.  [¶]  Sometimes there is probably even positive feedback between the amount of information we have in our uncertainty.  If we know nothing at all about something, we can form a simple picture of it and function on that basis.  Once we gather a little information, however, we run into trouble.  We realize how much we still don’t know, and we feel a strong desire to learn more.  And so we gather more information only to become more acutely aware of how little we know. . . .”  (The four periods at the end of the quoted sentence are in the original.)  “The more we know, the more clearly we realize what we don’t know.  This probably explains why we find so few scientists and scholars among politicians.  It probably also explains why organizations can be institutionalized the separation of their information-gathering and decision-making branches.”  Id. at 99.  “The new information [always] muddies [every] picture.”  Id. at 100.

[52] Id. at 141.

[53] Id. at 147.

[54] Justice Breyer, who is writing for the majority, which is joined by all of the judges, is quoting Learned Hand, Historical and Practical Considerations Regarding Expert Testimony, 15 Harv. L. Rev. 40, 54 (1901).  It is difficult not to associate Learned Hand with Legal Realism.  Neil Duxbury, Patterns of American Jurisprudence 228 (Oxford University Press 1995). Thus, is there some chance that Justice Breyer is trying to resurrect Realism in the output of a  Formalistic Supreme Court?

[55]Id. at 149.  Justice Breyer is again quoting the law review article written by Judge Hand.  To some degree, the writings of Hand, like the writings of Holmes, are nearly as significant sources of authority as their opinions.  See Gerald Gunther, Learned Hand:  The Man and the Judge  (1994).  What does this tell us, if anything, about the resurgence of “Legal Realism.”?  See Wouter de Been, Legal Realism Regained: Saving Realism from Critical Acclaim (2008)

[56] Id.  Justice Breyer is here quoting not from Leonard Hand but from the Daubert opinion itself.

[57] Id. at 150.

[58] Thomas L. Haskell, The  Authority of Experts: Studies in History and Theory (1984).

[59] The bibliography in the book mentioned and cited three footnotes below is 6 pages long, in small print, without comments.

[60] Nicholas Rescher, Objectivity:  The Obligations of Impersonal Reason (1997). Nicholas  Rescher is Emeritus Professor of Philosophy at the University of Pittsburgh

[61] Nicholas Rescher, Fairness:  Theory & Practice of Distributive Justice  (2002).  The personality characteristic of being fair is obviously a virtue in connection with adjustment processes. 

[62] Harry Collins and Robert Evans, Rethinking Expertise (University of Chicago Press, 2007).   The first author is a Distinguished Research Professor of Sociology and director of the Centre for the Study of Knowledge, Expertise, and Science at Cardiff University.  The second author is a Senior Lecturer on the same subject and the same university.

[63] This book was edited by K. Anders Ericsson, Neil Charness, Paul J. Feltovich, and Robert R. Hoffman.  It contains 42 essays, and its table of contents is Ex. 3, attached hereto.  It is not about expert witnessing per so, but it provides fascinating readings on various standards of expertise.

[64] Kumho Tire at 150.  Here, the court is again citing Daubert itself.

[65] Here, Justice Breyer is quoting from an amicus brief submitted by the United States Solicitor General.

[66] Id. at 150-51.  Somewhat later, Justice Breyer makes the same point with slightly different language.  In some cases, “some of Daubert’s questions can help evaluate the reliability even of experience-based testimony.”  In addition, “[w]e do not believe that Rule 702 creates a schematism that segregates expertise by type when mapping certain kinds of questions to certain kinds of experts.  Life and legal cases that it generates are too complex to warrant so definitive a match.”  Id. at 151.

[67] Id. at 152.

[68] Id.

[69] Exxon Pipeline Co. v. Zwahr, 88 S.E.3d 623 (Tex. 2002).

[70] D.Q. McInery, Being Logical:  A Guide to Good Thinking (2004).  See Douglas W. Walton, Informal Logic:  A Handbook for Critical Argumentation (2004).  For a great book on the subject, see Michael Scrivner, Reasoning (1976). 

[71] In Kumho Tire, the expert wanted to base an opinion on the proposition that in the absence of at least two out of four signs of abuse of a tire, one could not draw the conclusion that there had been an abuse of a tire.  Further, “his analysis depended upon acceptance of a further implicit proposition, mainly that his visual and tactile impressions should determine that the tire before him had not been abused despite some evidence of the presence of the very signs for which he looked (and two punctures).”  Id. at 154.

[72] Id.

[73] Id. at 156 (citing Daubert itself).

[74] Mock P. Denbeaux and D. Michael Risinger, Kumho Tire and Expert Reliability:  How the Question You Ask Gives the Answer You Get, 34 Seton Hall Rev. L. Rev. 15, 16 (2003).  (“[I]t is becoming increasingly clear that this revolution is changing the practical realities and results of trial in many cases or classes or cases in which various sorts of expertise play a central role.  Id.  The authors go on to say that the revolution is “most obvious in regard to toxic tort and product liability claims, but potentially the effects of the revolution will almost certainly be felt in a much broader range of cases[.]”  Id.
  
[75] Id. at note 4.

[76] Id. at 24.

[77] Justice Stephen Breyer, introduction, in Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence 2 (Federal Judicial Center 2000).

[78] Faigman, Laboratory of Justice, supra n. 2, at 357-58, 363.  (“Constitutional facts are integrally related to constitutional values.  Ignorance of facts leads inevitably to disregard of constitutional values.  [¶]  Still, there is reason to be hopeful.  Science and technology today are so pervasive that the Court cannot continue its slap-ways.  The constitution’s framers were products of the Enlightenment.  They expressly sought to bring the science of their time into the document that would govern the times to come.  Subsequent generations of lawyers and judges have failed to carry forth this mandate.  This state of affairs may change with the next generation of lawyers.  It’s not that lawyers and judges will suddenly volunteer to join a new enlightenment.  They will be forced to do so.  The scientific revolution is everywhere.  It cannot be ignored with impunity.  If the Constitution is to ‘endure forever,’ its guardians will have to read it in the light of the science of today and be prepared to incorporate the discoveries of tomorrow.”  Id. at 364.  Faigman also describes the courts fact-finding processes, especially in connection with constitutional law, as “surprisingly lackadaisical[.]”  Id. at 358.  What is interesting about Faigman’s book is the extent to which he traces influence of the social sciences and psychology, whether conceived as sciences or not, through Supreme Court reasoning over two centuries.

[79] William Meadow and Cass R. Sunstein, Statistics, Not Experts, 51 Duke L. Rev. 629 (2001).  The ideas in this paper are based substantially upon the more general theoretical approach of “behavioral law and economics.”  See Cass R. Sunstein, Ed., Behavioral Law & Economics (2000).

[80] Remember! It is reality being outlined here, not legal theory.

[81] Analogues of many of these sub-considerations apply to insureds as well as insurers.

[82] Michael Sean Quinn, Closing Arguments in Insurance Fraud Cases, 744, 794-96 (1988) (discussing expertise in the area of arson testimony). 

[83] Question. Are judges likely to treat this as a type of—or analogous to—a legal privilege.

[84] Windt, note 15, at 745.

[85] Id at 747. I know of no difference between the edition of his book cited herein and its more current editions

[86] Why this is not a discussion, in disguise,  of language in the policy is not clear.

[87] Ludwig Wittgenstein, Philosophical Investigations (1953).  It is universally acknowledged that Wittgenstein was one of the leading of western philosophers in the Twentieth Century and one of the all time premiere leaders of the philosophy of language and hence semantics.  The Investigations was published posthumously, but it was decades in the making and earlier version were used in classes for many years, mostly in England.